Mercer                        2 - 3


 
   Conf = SoCon                      Region = Southeast    State = GA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Chad Surman             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.3130341    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 129 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 1- 6, 85.6)     9- 4   
 205 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 4- 0, 92.1)    14-16   
 212 A Navy                   Mens NCAA D1  ( 3- 2, 89.2)     5-15   
 215 H Jacksonville           Mens NCAA D1  ( 5- 1, 95.1)    12-21   
 219 A Cleveland State        ASUN          ( 0- 3, 86.3)    11- 9   
 305 H Robert Morris          Mens NCAA D1  ( 0- 3, 85.9)   
 310 A Mount St Marys         Mens NCAA D1  ( 3- 3, 86.0)   
 312 A Wagner                 NEC           ( 0- 3, 81.1)   
 319 H Air Force              ASUN          ( 1- 4, 87.4)   
 326 A Utah                   ASUN          ( 2- 1, 91.3)   
 402 A VMI                    SoCon         ( 1- 3, 80.1)   
 409 H Hampton                SoCon         ( 0- 3, 71.1)   
 416 A Richmond               SoCon         ( 3- 1, 92.9)   
 423 A Jacksonville           Mens NCAA D1  ( 5- 1, 95.1)   
 430 H High Point             SoCon         ( 2- 2, 93.7)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   129 H Bellarmine              9- 4       5     3           1.55
   205 H Bucknell               14-16      -2    -3           1.13
   212 A Navy                    5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.41
   215 H Jacksonville           12-21      -9    -6    -     -2.91
   219 A Cleveland State        11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.66


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Navy                    5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.41
   215 H Jacksonville           12-21      -9    -6    -     -2.91


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Cleveland State        11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.66




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.31 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.34 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    45
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    55
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7


  
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