Air Force                     1 - 4


 
   Conf = ASUN                       Region = West         State = CO
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Bill Wilson             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.4024048    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 205 A Virginia               ACC           ( 4- 0, 95.9)    11-21   
 212 A Denver                 Big East      ( 3- 2, 91.0)     9-13   
 219 A Colgate                Mens NCAA D1  ( 1- 2, 88.4)     8-11   
 227 H Jacksonville           Mens NCAA D1  ( 5- 1, 95.1)     9-15   
 228 H Canisius               MAAC          ( 1- 4, 85.9)     9- 8   
 305 H Marist                 Mens NCAA D1  ( 1- 3, 85.7)   
 312 A Bryant                 NEC           ( 2- 2, 88.0)   
 319 A Mercer                 SoCon         ( 2- 3, 86.3)   
 326 A Marquette              Mens NCAA D1  ( 1- 3, 89.8)   
 402 H Utah                   ASUN          ( 2- 1, 91.3)   
 409 A Detroit Mercy          ASUN          ( 0- 3, 81.0)   
 416 H Cleveland State        ASUN          ( 0- 3, 86.3)   
 423 A Robert Morris          Mens NCAA D1  ( 0- 3, 85.9)   
 430 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 1- 6, 85.6)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 A Virginia               11-21     -10   -11           0.00
   212 A Denver                  9-13      -4    -6    +      2.34
   219 A Colgate                 8-11      -3    -3           0.73
   227 H Jacksonville            9-15      -6    -5          -0.99
   228 H Canisius                9- 8       1     4    -     -3.25


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Canisius                9- 8       1     4    -     -3.25


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Denver                  9-13      -4    -6    +      2.34




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.40 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.85 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7


  
/