2020 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St. Lawrence Liberty 3 0 19 52 23 1 1 3 5 4.00 2 Ursinus Centennial 6 0 18 28 2 8 26 1 35 1.00 3 Williams NESCAC 3 0 4 20 7 5 15 26 46 3.00 4 Rhodes Southern 5 2 49 47 54 13 12 22 47 0.10 5 Whittier Independent 2 0 58 168 34 2 11 34 47 1.00 6 Benedictine (IL) MLC 4 1 125 164 47 3 5 46 54 0.10 7 RIT Liberty 4 0 3 42 14 9 33 13 55 11.00 8 Purchase Skyline 1 0 199 239 39 6 16 35 57 0.10 9 Cortland SUNYAC 2 1 32 24 61 4 4 60 68 0.10 10 Gettysburg Centennial 5 1 10 8 4 20 38 11 69 4.00 11 Salisbury CAC 7 0 2 40 1 14 53 2 69 32.00 12 Amherst NESCAC 2 1 13 5 35 7 6 57 70 1.00 13 Kean CSAC 3 0 23 131 20 10 43 19 72 2.00 14 Clarkson Liberty 2 1 24 51 36 11 25 38 74 0.10 15 Denison NCAC 4 0 5 26 3 15 56 4 75 1.00 16 No. Central (IL) CCIW 3 1 85 100 71 19 23 41 83 0.10 17 St. John Fisher Empire 8 3 1 7 9 32 24 28 33 85 0.10 18 Geneseo SUNYAC 3 1 35 57 50 16 21 49 86 0.10 19 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 4 1 21 48 37 26 40 29 95 0.10 20 Middlebury NESCAC 2 0 16 53 31 12 52 32 96 0.10 21 Maine Maritime NAC 3 1 172 183 67 18 22 65 105 0.10 22 Christ. Newport CAC 5 1 11 21 18 31 58 17 106 4.00 23 Oberlin NCAC 2 1 93 112 81 17 14 76 107 0.10 24 Union Liberty 3 1 8 17 33 30 42 37 109 2.00 25 Muhlenberg Centennial 4 0 31 88 13 21 78 12 111 1.00 26 Randolph-Macon ODAC 6 0 29 130 6 23 84 6 113 5.00 27 Connecticut Col. NESCAC 1 1 79 41 78 25 10 84 119 0.10 28 So. Virginia CAC 6 1 33 79 40 29 61 36 126 0.10 29 MIT NEWMAC 3 1 105 102 69 28 37 66 131 0.10 30 Keuka NEAC 2 0 118 237 30 22 82 30 134 0.10 31 U. of Northweste MLC 3 0 92 190 24 27 87 24 138 0.10 32 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 4 2 56 62 102 33 32 75 140 0.10 33 Brockport SUNYAC 2 1 99 97 77 50 20 73 143 0.10 34 Illinois Tech MLC 0 1 206 89 101 43 3 99 145 0.10 35 Hope MIAA 3 0 69 123 19 32 97 18 147 0.10 36 Colby NESCAC 0 2 61 1 60 38 2 109 149 0.10 37 Widener MAC-Commonweal 4 1 25 49 25 36 70 45 151 1.00 38 Ithaca Liberty 2 2 22 13 64 46 24 88 158 1.00 39 Montclair State CSAC 3 2 78 56 111 37 31 92 160 0.10 40 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 2 1 59 63 82 40 47 77 164 0.10 41 Concordia-Wisc. MLC 4 1 133 184 49 41 77 48 166 0.10 42 Guilford ODAC 5 2 71 92 79 47 69 50 166 0.10 43 Stevenson MAC-Commonweal 1 3 14 2 106 35 8 127 170 0.10 44 Tufts NESCAC 3 0 1 32 12 34 116 23 173 9.00 45 Nazareth Empire 8 3 2 46 39 80 44 39 93 176 0.10 46 John Carroll OAC 3 1 44 80 65 45 71 64 180 0.10 47 U. of New Englan CCC 4 1 90 180 56 48 89 54 191 1.00 48 UMass Boston LEC 4 0 36 189 17 42 133 16 191 0.10 49 Dickinson Centennial 3 2 38 14 91 52 54 87 193 0.10 50 Lynchburg ODAC 2 3 12 3 66 54 18 122 194 1.00 51 Maritime Skyline 3 1 60 113 68 63 101 31 195 0.10 52 Eastern Conn. LEC 2 0 102 178 28 39 131 28 198 0.10 53 Rensselaer Liberty 4 1 47 58 53 53 100 52 205 0.10 54 King's MAC-Freedom 5 0 98 161 10 51 150 9 210 0.10 55 Potsdam SUNYAC 2 1 138 93 72 61 81 69 211 0.10 56 Wentworth CCC 3 1 65 127 76 55 90 71 216 0.10 57 Ohio Northern OAC 4 2 77 70 113 65 85 68 218 0.10 58 Swarthmore Centennial 3 2 20 34 123 49 44 128 221 1.00 59 Kenyon NCAC 5 0 70 125 9 57 157 8 222 0.10 60 St. Joseph's (ME GNAC 3 1 109 177 74 69 113 42 224 0.10 61 Dubuque CCIW 2 2 156 171 129 56 36 133 225 0.10 62 Otterbein OAC 3 2 113 73 134 64 74 94 232 0.10 63 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 4 1 80 136 57 62 120 55 237 0.10 64 Adrian MIAA 3 1 171 221 58 70 114 56 240 0.10 65 Arcadia MAC-Commonweal 4 2 45 75 98 58 75 107 240 0.10 66 Stockton CSAC 5 0 30 66 11 66 165 10 241 0.10 67 Babson NEWMAC 3 2 50 35 88 60 63 120 243 1.00 68 Saint Joseph (CT GNAC 2 1 205 230 83 72 94 78 244 0.10 69 Berry Southern 0 4 162 23 211 71 7 172 250 0.10 70 Hartwick Empire 8 0 2 161 120 160 81 9 160 250 0.10 71 Endicott CCC 2 2 41 25 100 67 48 136 251 0.10 72 Scranton Landmark 3 3 34 46 176 76 62 116 254 0.10 73 Catholic Landmark 3 4 39 43 215 59 27 173 259 0.10 74 Oswego SUNYAC 3 0 119 167 22 68 172 21 261 0.10 75 Saint Vincent Presidents 3 1 139 117 73 73 123 70 266 0.10 76 York CAC 4 2 6 10 27 74 95 105 274 1.00 77 Eastern MAC-Freedom 2 4 48 19 170 79 29 168 276 0.10 78 St. Joseph's (LI Skyline 1 2 131 78 155 86 34 157 277 0.10 79 St. Mary's CAC 5 1 42 64 44 83 153 43 279 0.10 80 Baldwin Wallace OAC 2 2 86 69 128 92 80 108 280 0.10 81 Cabrini AEC 3 1 9 27 42 85 137 58 280 0.10 82 Western Conn. LEC 5 1 104 166 45 93 162 25 280 0.10 83 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 2 3 82 38 105 100 68 113 281 0.10 84 Washington & Lee ODAC 3 3 15 15 97 78 64 142 284 4.00 85 Morrisville NEAC 0 2 179 65 164 109 13 164 286 0.10 86 MSOE MLC 3 1 83 188 70 84 136 67 287 0.10 87 Southwestern SCAC 4 0 94 194 15 82 191 14 287 0.10 88 Concordia-Chic. MLC 0 2 197 149 159 123 17 148 288 0.10 89 Roanoke ODAC 2 3 57 54 120 105 76 115 296 0.10 90 Carthage CCIW 4 1 108 150 48 95 158 47 300 0.10 91 Colorado College SCAC 5 0 26 140 8 97 196 7 300 5.00 92 Salve Regina CCC 4 1 66 86 55 94 156 53 303 0.10 93 Stevens MAC-Freedom 3 2 28 16 75 102 124 80 306 0.10 94 DeSales MAC-Freedom 3 1 76 129 62 99 152 61 312 0.10 95 Wittenberg NCAC 2 2 87 90 139 91 79 143 313 0.10 96 Methodist USA South 3 3 144 134 175 75 59 180 314 0.10 97 Pfeiffer USA South 2 2 127 118 135 110 109 95 314 0.10 98 New England NECC 3 2 152 119 119 90 105 124 319 0.10 99 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 3 3 84 83 169 80 66 174 320 0.10 100 Piedmont USA South 4 2 116 143 114 88 119 114 321 0.10 101 Western New Eng. CCC 3 1 40 31 46 98 151 72 321 0.10 102 Alfred Empire 8 3 2 123 179 115 96 110 117 323 0.10 103 Mary Washington CAC 3 4 72 29 195 77 49 199 325 0.10 104 Neumann AEC 5 1 111 196 43 104 182 40 326 0.10 105 Farmingdale St. Skyline 6 0 110 219 5 113 209 5 327 0.10 106 Elizabethtown Landmark 3 3 37 33 167 89 73 169 331 0.10 107 Trine MIAA 4 0 120 220 16 112 206 15 333 0.10 108 Merchant Marine Skyline 0 2 122 77 163 141 30 163 334 0.10 109 Wooster NCAC 2 2 68 81 140 101 91 144 336 0.10 110 No. Central (MN) Independent 0 1 233 82 103 170 67 100 337 0.10 111 Greensboro USA South 4 3 128 138 168 87 88 171 346 0.10 112 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 3 1 43 72 38 121 188 39 348 2.00 113 Trinity NESCAC 2 1 53 45 41 133 179 44 356 0.10 114 JWU-Providence GNAC 1 3 173 144 193 111 50 197 358 0.10 115 Bowdoin NESCAC 0 2 52 12 143 156 46 158 360 0.10 116 Wesleyan NESCAC 2 1 27 44 86 118 160 82 360 0.10 117 Wheaton NEWMAC 3 2 151 154 126 106 132 130 368 0.10 118 Calvin MIAA 3 1 158 218 59 125 189 59 373 0.10 119 Hendrix Southern 3 3 159 172 173 103 92 178 373 0.10 120 UMass Dartmouth LEC 1 3 126 95 197 115 57 201 373 0.10 121 Houghton Empire 8 2 2 190 192 132 129 138 110 377 0.10 122 Sewanee Southern 1 5 142 67 238 116 41 220 377 0.10 123 Washington Coll. Centennial 0 5 81 7 231 126 19 233 378 0.10 124 Alfred State NEAC 0 2 230 176 157 179 83 118 380 0.10 125 DePauw NCAC 1 4 107 59 204 120 55 206 381 0.10 126 Goucher Landmark 3 3 97 61 146 108 103 170 381 0.10 127 Hood MAC-Commonweal 1 2 155 116 148 134 96 151 381 0.10 128 Emerson NEWMAC 2 2 117 94 131 119 128 135 382 0.10 129 Ferrum ODAC 3 3 153 156 171 107 102 176 385 0.10 130 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 3 1 17 36 29 132 193 62 387 0.10 131 Shenandoah ODAC 3 2 74 101 122 117 147 126 390 0.10 132 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 1 3 136 109 191 138 86 175 399 0.10 133 Lasell GNAC 1 2 180 114 150 139 108 152 399 0.10 134 Albion MIAA 4 2 88 128 109 114 181 106 401 0.10 135 Bard Liberty 1 2 182 121 141 144 115 145 404 0.10 136 Messiah MAC-Commonweal 0 4 75 6 213 146 35 223 404 0.10 137 Gordon CCC 2 3 169 193 181 122 99 186 407 0.10 138 Transylvania Heartland 3 2 134 107 124 124 155 129 408 0.10 139 Lycoming MAC-Commonweal 2 3 115 60 162 131 118 162 411 0.10 140 Vassar Liberty 2 2 91 85 125 130 140 141 411 0.10 141 Hiram NCAC 4 1 209 241 52 153 212 51 416 0.10 142 Oneonta SUNYAC 1 2 132 106 153 145 117 155 417 0.10 143 McDaniel Centennial 2 3 89 76 183 127 107 188 422 0.10 144 Centre Southern 2 3 101 135 179 136 121 167 424 0.10 145 Wilmington (OH) OAC 3 0 221 245 26 164 236 27 427 0.10 146 Immaculata AEC 1 2 137 147 149 169 148 111 428 0.10 147 Springfield NEWMAC 0 4 67 4 185 155 45 228 428 0.10 148 Marian MLC 1 1 124 207 93 163 176 90 429 0.10 149 Clark NEWMAC 0 4 54 18 216 160 51 219 430 0.10 150 Mount Union OAC 4 2 130 182 112 137 186 112 435 0.10 151 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 0 3 149 74 206 168 60 208 436 0.10 152 Augustana CCIW 1 5 141 141 235 140 65 235 440 0.10 153 So. Maine LEC 1 1 194 173 96 165 178 97 440 0.10 154 Washington & Jef Presidents 1 3 168 133 198 154 104 182 440 0.10 155 Alma MIAA 1 3 160 98 188 152 98 192 442 0.10 156 Roger Williams CCC 3 2 100 110 121 142 175 125 442 0.10 157 La Roche Independent 2 2 219 233 133 148 159 137 444 0.10 158 Coast Guard NEWMAC 2 4 62 30 190 143 111 195 449 0.10 159 Monmouth (IL) MLC 3 3 143 181 118 128 202 123 453 0.10 160 Bridgewater ODAC 2 2 63 84 110 158 167 132 457 0.10 161 Drew Landmark 3 2 175 199 117 150 187 121 458 0.10 162 Susquehanna Landmark 1 6 121 71 243 151 72 239 462 0.10 163 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 3 0 226 246 21 200 243 20 463 0.10 164 New Paltz SUNYAC 1 2 186 191 151 166 144 153 463 0.10 165 Carroll CCIW 1 3 211 170 189 159 112 194 465 0.10 166 Hamilton NESCAC 2 1 51 55 51 175 218 74 467 1.00 167 Salem State LEC 2 1 204 234 84 174 214 79 467 0.10 168 Hilbert NEAC 3 1 191 235 63 181 225 63 469 0.10 169 Delhi NAC 2 3 166 146 180 147 139 185 471 0.10 170 William Peace USA South 2 3 170 96 186 149 142 190 481 0.10 171 Earlham Heartland 0 3 231 210 205 184 93 207 484 0.10 172 Wabash NCAC 0 2 208 157 166 194 125 166 485 0.10 173 Dallas SCAC 1 2 198 201 145 177 161 149 487 0.10 174 Grove City Presidents 1 2 73 50 147 180 163 150 493 0.10 175 Birmingham-South Southern 4 4 112 169 212 135 145 214 494 0.10 176 Capital OAC 1 4 106 68 221 178 134 184 496 0.10 177 Kalamazoo MIAA 4 1 181 206 92 162 246 89 497 0.10 178 NVU-Lyndon NAC 0 1 244 227 104 223 173 101 497 0.10 179 Dean College NECC 1 1 202 229 90 195 220 86 501 0.10 180 Mass. Maritime NEWMAC 1 1 96 104 94 193 217 91 501 0.10 181 Regis GNAC 1 1 145 203 95 192 213 96 501 0.10 182 Thiel Presidents 3 3 188 202 177 157 164 181 502 0.10 183 Bates NESCAC 1 4 55 22 199 172 126 213 511 0.10 184 SUNY Poly NEAC 2 2 146 174 138 176 195 140 511 0.10 185 Chatham Presidents 2 4 174 115 218 161 135 218 514 0.10 186 Haverford Centennial 0 5 103 11 232 188 106 221 515 0.10 187 Mount St. Joseph Heartland 0 2 242 236 165 209 143 165 517 0.10 188 Wilkes MAC-Freedom 1 2 150 111 156 210 204 104 518 0.10 189 Nichols CCC 1 4 183 159 225 171 122 226 519 0.10 190 Wesley AEC 2 1 196 232 85 205 237 81 523 0.10 191 Plymouth State LEC 1 2 140 148 154 185 183 156 524 0.10 192 Sage Empire 8 1 4 192 145 226 173 127 227 527 0.10 193 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 3 3 129 139 172 167 184 177 528 0.10 194 Bethany Presidents 0 3 229 238 201 197 129 203 529 0.10 195 Becker NECC 0 3 241 216 200 198 130 202 530 0.10 196 Elmira Empire 8 2 2 214 212 130 191 208 134 533 0.10 197 Skidmore Liberty 2 2 64 126 137 189 205 139 533 0.10 198 Aurora MLC 2 4 135 105 217 183 171 193 547 0.10 199 Albertus Magnus GNAC 1 1 217 243 87 228 240 83 551 0.10 200 Anna Maria GNAC 3 2 187 204 116 203 231 119 553 0.10 201 Manhattanville MAC-Freedom 1 3 148 99 194 190 168 198 556 0.10 202 Wells NEAC 0 1 236 175 108 236 221 103 560 0.10 203 Cobleskill NEAC 0 1 213 231 99 240 226 98 564 0.10 204 Hanover Heartland 2 4 189 152 219 182 169 216 567 0.10 205 Cornell College MLC 1 1 218 215 89 239 244 85 568 0.10 206 Elmhurst CCIW 1 5 114 87 236 186 146 237 569 0.10 207 Keene State LEC 0 3 95 37 208 211 149 210 570 0.10 208 Moravian Landmark 2 3 164 185 184 187 194 189 570 0.10 209 Alvernia MAC-Commonweal 2 2 222 214 127 212 228 131 571 0.10 210 Canton NAC 1 2 193 124 144 215 210 147 572 0.10 211 Rosemont CSAC 0 5 240 198 241 201 141 242 584 0.10 212 Allegheny NCAC 1 3 147 132 187 204 192 191 587 0.10 213 Keystone CSAC 0 2 243 244 161 230 198 161 589 0.10 214 Rivier GNAC 2 2 210 240 136 222 233 138 593 0.10 215 Thomas NAC 0 1 203 155 107 246 245 102 593 0.10 216 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 1 4 176 142 224 196 174 225 595 0.10 217 Anderson Heartland 1 4 237 208 220 202 185 217 604 0.10 218 LaGrange USA South 2 5 215 228 182 219 201 187 607 0.10 219 Husson NAC 0 5 212 137 240 213 154 241 608 0.10 220 Franciscan Presidents 0 3 238 226 207 224 177 209 610 0.10 221 Medaille NEAC 1 3 239 213 196 214 200 200 614 0.10 222 Beloit MLC 1 2 225 225 142 232 238 146 616 0.10 223 Centenary (NJ) CSAC 0 4 234 186 228 220 166 230 616 0.10 224 Oglethorpe Southern 5 4 207 222 214 199 203 215 617 0.10 225 Cazenovia NEAC 0 2 224 187 158 238 224 159 621 0.10 226 Albright MAC-Commonweal 2 3 178 165 178 218 222 183 623 0.10 227 Marietta OAC 3 3 184 223 174 216 230 179 625 0.10 228 Marymount AEC 1 5 163 103 237 208 180 238 626 0.10 229 Norwich GNAC 1 2 165 163 152 233 239 154 626 0.10 230 Muskingum OAC 0 3 220 205 210 226 190 212 628 0.10 231 Centenary (LA) SCAC 0 6 235 197 245 221 170 245 636 0.10 232 Randolph ODAC 2 5 216 151 234 206 197 234 637 0.10 233 Marywood AEC 2 5 154 108 233 207 199 236 642 0.10 234 Heidelberg OAC 1 3 185 200 192 229 227 196 652 0.10 235 Mitchell NECC 1 4 232 224 223 225 215 224 664 0.10 236 Huntingdon USA South 3 6 200 195 242 217 216 243 676 0.10 237 Westminster (PA) Presidents 1 5 195 153 239 227 211 240 678 0.10 238 Castleton LEC 0 3 201 160 202 242 234 204 680 0.10 239 Averett USA South 0 6 223 209 244 231 207 244 682 0.10 240 Utica Empire 8 0 4 177 122 230 234 219 232 685 0.10 241 Bryn Athyn CSAC 0 4 227 162 227 237 223 229 689 0.10 242 Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonweal 1 4 157 158 222 235 232 222 689 0.10 243 MCLA NAC 0 3 245 242 209 243 235 211 689 0.10 244 Curry CCC 0 3 167 91 203 244 241 205 690 0.10 245 JWU-Denver SCAC 0 4 246 211 229 241 229 231 701 0.10 246 Northland Independent 0 6 228 217 246 245 242 246 733 0.10