2020 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Yale Ivy 3 1 3 7 13 1 5 6 12 3.00 2 Ohio State Big Ten 4 2 8 14 18 3 4 15 22 2.00 3 Cornell Ivy 5 0 1 19 1 2 24 1 27 10.00 4 Penn State Big Ten 4 2 2 9 6 9 11 11 31 5.00 5 UMass CAA 4 2 23 10 10 5 7 21 33 3.00 6 Maryland Big Ten 5 1 11 13 5 7 21 7 35 0.10 7 Virginia ACC 4 2 24 23 25 6 10 19 35 2.00 8 Providence Big East 5 1 10 26 19 4 17 16 37 2.00 9 Albany America East 2 3 33 4 38 11 1 29 41 0.10 10 Penn Ivy 2 3 15 3 32 14 2 30 46 0.10 11 Villanova Big East 4 3 20 5 15 10 8 28 46 0.10 12 Syracuse ACC 5 0 6 22 2 8 38 5 51 14.00 13 Bryant Northeast 3 3 21 15 28 15 6 32 53 0.10 14 Saint Joseph's Northeast 5 2 30 25 9 18 25 17 60 0.10 15 Princeton Ivy 5 0 9 48 7 12 47 2 61 7.00 16 Holy Cross Patriot 4 3 38 16 30 13 12 40 65 0.10 17 Harvard Ivy 2 2 27 28 41 20 14 33 67 1.00 18 North Carolina ACC 6 0 4 55 3 16 54 3 73 21.00 19 Bucknell Patriot 5 1 12 35 11 21 45 9 75 1.00 20 Denver Big East 4 2 19 30 16 24 28 23 75 1.00 21 Lehigh Patriot 5 1 28 58 17 19 42 14 75 2.00 22 Georgetown Big East 6 0 5 65 4 17 55 4 76 6.00 23 Army Patriot 6 2 7 40 21 26 39 13 78 9.00 24 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 1 4 40 6 45 35 9 34 78 1.00 25 Dartmouth Ivy 3 1 14 34 23 23 36 20 79 0.10 26 Notre Dame ACC 2 2 17 12 27 27 18 35 80 2.00 27 Brown Ivy 3 2 26 33 26 29 32 22 83 1.00 28 Duke ACC 5 2 16 31 22 25 35 26 86 3.00 29 Stony Brook America East 5 2 41 36 33 22 33 31 86 0.10 30 UMBC America East 4 1 32 50 12 28 53 12 93 0.10 31 Delaware CAA 4 2 36 57 29 30 40 25 95 0.10 32 Navy Patriot 3 2 34 51 36 40 22 37 99 0.10 33 Marist MAAC 3 3 22 20 35 31 23 48 102 2.00 34 Colgate Patriot 0 6 46 2 61 41 3 59 103 0.10 35 Drexel CAA 3 3 25 37 47 34 27 42 103 0.10 36 Vermont America East 3 1 31 41 20 33 52 18 103 0.10 37 Richmond SoCon 4 3 18 21 40 32 31 43 106 0.10 38 Hobart Northeast 4 1 13 60 14 36 65 10 111 0.10 39 High Point SoCon 2 6 55 18 65 37 16 62 115 0.10 40 Sacred Heart Northeast 1 5 51 17 62 39 13 65 117 0.10 41 Fairfield CAA 4 2 47 43 24 38 59 24 121 0.10 42 Boston U. Patriot 3 3 37 27 34 42 44 36 122 0.10 43 Rutgers Big Ten 2 4 35 24 53 44 26 52 122 0.10 44 Mercer SoCon 5 1 42 75 8 46 71 8 125 0.10 45 Lafayette Patriot 0 6 65 1 57 56 15 58 129 0.10 46 Detroit Mercy MAAC 2 3 66 49 46 47 37 46 130 0.10 47 Loyola Patriot 4 2 29 44 31 43 60 27 130 2.00 48 Binghamton America East 1 5 59 8 56 53 19 60 132 0.10 49 Hofstra CAA 3 3 39 54 42 50 50 39 139 0.10 50 Monmouth MAAC 2 4 70 59 58 52 30 57 139 0.10 51 Robert Morris Northeast 4 2 49 64 37 45 61 38 144 0.10 52 Towson CAA 0 6 63 11 67 61 20 63 144 0.10 53 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 3 4 57 29 52 49 41 55 145 0.10 54 Air Force SoCon 4 3 50 56 44 48 56 44 148 0.10 55 Utah Independent 3 3 48 63 55 51 51 49 151 0.10 56 Merrimack Northeast 1 5 44 32 66 58 29 66 153 0.10 57 Furman SoCon 1 5 67 39 60 62 34 61 157 0.10 58 Jacksonville SoCon 3 2 52 74 39 54 64 41 159 0.10 59 Marquette Big East 3 3 45 62 51 55 58 51 164 0.10 60 UMass Lowell America East 3 4 56 45 59 57 57 54 168 0.10 61 Cleveland State Independent 2 5 58 38 64 60 46 67 173 0.10 62 VMI SoCon 0 4 61 42 63 67 43 64 174 0.10 63 Michigan Big Ten 3 3 43 52 43 63 67 45 175 0.10 64 St. John's Big East 3 3 53 61 54 59 63 53 175 0.10 65 Hartford America East 3 3 54 71 49 64 72 50 186 0.10 66 Manhattan MAAC 3 3 60 70 50 66 73 47 186 0.10 67 Canisius MAAC 0 5 72 46 68 69 49 71 189 0.10 68 Siena MAAC 2 3 68 66 48 65 69 56 190 0.10 69 St. Bonaventure MAAC 0 6 71 47 74 68 48 75 191 0.10 70 NJIT Northeast 1 6 73 69 73 70 62 73 205 0.10 71 Bellarmine SoCon 2 6 62 68 69 71 70 68 209 0.10 72 Wagner Northeast 1 5 74 67 71 72 68 70 210 0.10 73 Quinnipiac MAAC 0 6 64 53 75 73 66 74 213 0.10 74 LIU Northeast 1 5 69 72 70 74 75 69 218 0.10 75 Hampton Independent 0 5 75 73 72 75 74 72 221 0.10