Western Conn.                 5 - 1


 
   Conf = LEC                        Region = North        State = CT
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Ryan Cavanagh           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   79.7684250    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Nichols                CCC           ( 1- 4, 65.7)    21- 8   
 222 H Sage                   Empire 8      ( 1- 4, 64.1)    23-12   
 225 A Mount Saint Mary       Skyline       ( 1- 4, 67.3)    13- 8   
 229 A St. Joseph's (LI)      Skyline       ( 1- 2, 71.8)    10- 6   
 304 A King's                 MAC-Freedom   ( 5- 0, 75.3)     9-13   
 307 H Merchant Marine        Skyline       ( 0- 2, 72.5)    14-11   
 321 H So. Maine              LEC           ( 1- 1, 63.4)   
 324 A Manhattanville         MAC-Freedom   ( 1- 3, 69.9)   
 328 A Plymouth State         LEC           ( 1- 2, 70.7)   
 404 H Castleton              LEC           ( 0- 3, 62.0)   
 407 A Keene State            LEC           ( 0- 3, 75.8)   
 411 A Salem State            LEC           ( 2- 1, 61.5)   
 415 H Eastern Conn.          LEC           ( 2- 0, 74.8)   
 418 H UMass Dartmouth        LEC           ( 1- 3, 72.3)   
 421 A UMass Boston           LEC           ( 4- 0, 83.0)   
 424 A Mass. Maritime         NEWMAC        ( 1- 1, 75.6)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Nichols                21- 8      13    10           0.00
   222 H Sage                   23-12      11    11           0.00
   225 A Mount Saint Mary       13- 8       5     6          -1.20
   229 A St. Joseph's (LI)      10- 6       4     1    +      2.31
   304 A King's                  9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.15
   307 H Merchant Marine        14-11       3     3          -0.63


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A King's                  9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.15


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A St. Joseph's (LI)      10- 6       4     1    +      2.31




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.77 Local Power Rank...........   104
 Local SOS Rating......... 40.42 Local SOS Rank.............   166
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    93
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   238
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0


  
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