Ursinus                       6 - 0


 
   Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Gary Mercadante         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   91.9605103    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Stevenson              MAC-Commonwea ( 1- 3, 87.3)    13-12   
 222 H Mary Washington        CAC           ( 3- 4, 78.2)    15-10   
 226 A Eastern                MAC-Freedom   ( 2- 4, 81.7)    12-10   
 229 H Christ. Newport        CAC           ( 5- 1, 88.2)    13- 9   
 304 A Montclair State        CSAC          ( 3- 2, 77.8)    18-11   
 307 H Illinois Wesleyan      CCIW          ( 4- 2, 80.3)    20- 8   
 311 H Stockton               CSAC          ( 5- 0, 84.2)   
 321 H Gettysburg             Centennial    ( 5- 1, 88.3)   
 325 H Washington Coll.       Centennial    ( 0- 5, 77.1)   
 328 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 3- 2, 85.8)   
 404 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 2- 3, 76.2)   
 411 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 3- 1, 87.1)   
 418 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 0- 5, 74.8)   
 422 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 4- 0, 84.1)   
 425 A Dickinson              Centennial    ( 3- 2, 82.9)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Stevenson              13-12       1     0           0.04
   222 H Mary Washington        15-10       5    10    --    -5.00
   226 A Eastern                12-10       2     3          -1.97
   229 H Christ. Newport        13- 9       4     0    +      3.97
   304 A Montclair State        18-11       7     7          -0.83
   307 H Illinois Wesleyan      20- 8      12     7    +      2.05


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Mary Washington        15-10       5    10    --    -5.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H Christ. Newport        13- 9       4     0    +      3.97
   307 H Illinois Wesleyan      20- 8      12     7    +      2.05




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.96 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.66 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.73 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7


  
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