UMass Lowell                  3 - 4


 
   Conf = America East               Region = Northeast    State = MA
   Nickname = River Hawks            Coach  = Ed Stephenson           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   88.9628830    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 H Quinnipiac             MAAC          ( 0- 6, 87.1)    10- 9   
 215 H Boston U.              Patriot       ( 3- 3, 92.6)     5-13   
 218 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4- 3, 92.4)    12-13  o
 222 A Siena                  MAAC          ( 2- 3, 86.1)    16-15   
 225 H UMass                  CAA           ( 4- 2, 94.6)     9-11   
 229 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 3- 1, 95.9)     3-11   
 307 A Merrimack              Northeast     ( 1- 5, 90.8)     8- 6   
 314 H Albany                 America East  ( 2- 3, 92.8)   
 321 H St. John's             Big East      ( 3- 3, 89.4)   
 328 A Vermont                America East  ( 3- 1, 93.1)   
 404 H Hartford               America East  ( 3- 3, 89.2)   
 411 A Stony Brook            America East  ( 5- 2, 91.7)   
 417 H UMBC                   America East  ( 4- 1, 93.1)   
 424 A Binghamton             America East  ( 1- 5, 88.4)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Quinnipiac             10- 9       1     3    -     -2.70
   215 H Boston U.               5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.18
   218 A Holy Cross             12-13  o   -1    -5    ++     4.30
   222 A Siena                  16-15       1     0           0.03
   225 H UMass                   9-11      -2    -3           1.79
   229 H Dartmouth               3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.94
   307 A Merrimack               8- 6       2    -3    ++     5.70


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Boston U.               5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.18
   208 H Quinnipiac             10- 9       1     3    -     -2.70
   229 H Dartmouth               3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.94


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Holy Cross             12-13  o   -1    -5    ++     4.30
   307 A Merrimack               8- 6       2    -3    ++     5.70




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.96 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.00 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    57
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7


  
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