Swarthmore                    3 - 2


 
   Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Garnet                 Coach  = Pat Gress               



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.8203125    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Stevens                MAC-Freedom   ( 3- 2, 84.2)     4- 9   
 222 A Widener                MAC-Commonwea ( 4- 1, 84.8)     9-11   
 229 A Vassar                 Liberty       ( 2- 2, 75.9)    16- 7   
 304 H Arcadia                MAC-Commonwea ( 4- 2, 82.2)    17- 8   
 307 H Elizabethtown          Landmark      ( 3- 3, 83.0)    19-12   
 311 A Bridgewater            ODAC          ( 2- 2, 79.3)   
 321 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 3- 1, 87.1)   
 325 H Delaware Valley        MAC-Freedom   ( 3- 3, 76.5)   
 328 H Ursinus                Centennial    ( 6- 0, 87.0)   
 404 H Gettysburg             Centennial    ( 5- 1, 88.3)   
 408 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 4- 0, 84.1)   
 411 H Dickinson              Centennial    ( 3- 2, 82.9)   
 415 A Washington Coll.       Centennial    ( 0- 5, 77.1)   
 418 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 2- 3, 76.2)   
 425 H Haverford              Centennial    ( 0- 5, 74.8)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Stevens                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.27
   222 A Widener                 9-11      -2     0          -1.75
   229 A Vassar                 16- 7       9     8           0.36
   304 H Arcadia                17- 8       9     4    ++     4.03
   307 H Elizabethtown          19-12       7     4    +      2.83


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Stevens                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.27


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Arcadia                17- 8       9     4    ++     4.03
   307 H Elizabethtown          19-12       7     4    +      2.83




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.82 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.06 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....   123
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3


  
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