St. Mary's                    5 - 1


 
   Conf = CAC                        Region = South        State = MD
   Nickname = Seahawks               Coach  = Jason Childs            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.5481110    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 208 H Randolph               ODAC          ( 2- 5, 58.9)    22- 1   
 215 N Dickinson              Centennial    ( 3- 2, 82.9)     8-15   
 222 A Elizabethtown          Landmark      ( 3- 3, 83.0)    12-10   
 229 A Catholic               Landmark      ( 3- 4, 82.6)    11- 7   
 304 A Washington Coll.       Centennial    ( 0- 5, 77.1)    14-13 2o
 307 H Eastern                MAC-Freedom   ( 2- 4, 81.7)    15- 8   
 311 H Randolph-Macon         ODAC          ( 6- 0, 84.2)   
 314 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 2- 3, 76.2)   
 320 H Whittier               Independent   ( 2- 0, 80.2)   
 321 N Elmhurst               CCIW          ( 1- 5, 73.3)   
 325 H Marymount              AEC           ( 1- 5, 69.2)   
 404 A Mary Washington        CAC           ( 3- 4, 78.2)   
 407 A Salisbury              CAC           ( 7- 0, 93.9)   
 415 H York                   CAC           ( 4- 2, 89.3)   
 418 H So. Virginia           CAC           ( 6- 1, 83.2)   
 422 A Christ. Newport        CAC           ( 5- 1, 88.2)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Randolph               22- 1      21    24           0.00
   215 N Dickinson               8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.66
   222 A Elizabethtown          12-10       2    -1    +      3.73
   229 A Catholic               11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.40
   304 A Washington Coll.       14-13 2o    1     4    -     -3.14
   307 H Eastern                15- 8       7     2    ++     4.82


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 N Dickinson               8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.66
   304 A Washington Coll.       14-13 2o    1     4    -     -3.14


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A Catholic               11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.40
   307 H Eastern                15- 8       7     2    ++     4.82
   222 A Elizabethtown          12-10       2    -1    +      3.73




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.55 Local Power Rank...........    42
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.41 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    83
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   214
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0


  
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