Providence                    5 - 1


 
   Conf = Big East                   Region = Northeast    State = RI
   Nickname = Friars                 Coach  = Chris Gabrielli         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   96.9146881    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 201 A Boston U.              Patriot       ( 3- 3, 92.6)    12- 5   
 208 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4- 3, 92.4)     6- 4   
 215 H Bryant                 Northeast     ( 3- 3, 94.9)    16- 9   
 222 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     ( 5- 2, 93.2)     8-10   
 229 A Brown                  Ivy           ( 3- 2, 94.0)    13-12  o
 307 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 1- 5, 89.7)    14- 8   
 314 H Hofstra                CAA           ( 3- 3, 92.0)   
 317 A Fairfield              CAA           ( 4- 2, 90.3)   
 322 A Drexel                 CAA           ( 3- 3, 94.1)   
 328 H St. John's             Big East      ( 3- 3, 89.4)   
 404 A Georgetown             Big East      ( 6- 0, 99.2)   
 411 A Marquette              Big East      ( 3- 3, 90.7)   
 418 H Denver                 Big East      ( 4- 2, 95.2)   
 425 A Villanova              Big East      ( 4- 3, 95.1)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Boston U.              12- 5       7     2    ++     4.57
   208 H Holy Cross              6- 4       2     6    --    -4.36
   215 H Bryant                 16- 9       7     3    +      3.13
   222 A Saint Joseph's          8-10      -2     1    -     -3.88
   229 A Brown                  13-12  o    1     1          -0.06
   307 A Sacred Heart           14- 8       6     5           0.60


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Holy Cross              6- 4       2     6    --    -4.36
   222 A Saint Joseph's          8-10      -2     1    -     -3.88


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Boston U.              12- 5       7     2    ++     4.57
   215 H Bryant                 16- 9       7     3    +      3.13




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.91 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.00 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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