Nazareth                      3 - 2


 
   Conf = Empire 8                   Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Golden Flyers          Coach  = Rob Randall             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.0974121    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 H Springfield            NEWMAC        ( 0- 4, 79.0)    14-10   
 226 H RIT                    Liberty       ( 4- 0, 91.6)    10-21   
 229 A Endicott               CCC           ( 2- 2, 82.6)     7-13   
 303 A Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 2- 1, 75.0)    20- 8   
 307 H Ohio Northern          OAC           ( 4- 2, 77.9)    11- 4   
 310 N DeSales                MAC-Freedom   ( 3- 1, 77.9)   
 314 N Western New Eng.       CCC           ( 3- 1, 82.6)   
 318 H Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 2- 1, 81.4)   
 321 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 3- 1, 83.1)   
 324 A Ithaca                 Liberty       ( 2- 2, 85.1)   
 328 A Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 2- 2, 60.4)   
 401 H Houghton               Empire 8      ( 2- 2, 64.7)   
 404 A Sage                   Empire 8      ( 1- 4, 64.1)   
 411 A Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 0- 2, 69.3)   
 415 H Utica                  Empire 8      ( 0- 4, 67.3)   
 418 H St. John Fisher        Empire 8      ( 3- 1, 89.2)   
 425 H Alfred                 Empire 8      ( 3- 2, 72.4)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Springfield            14-10       4     4          -0.36
   226 H RIT                    10-21     -11    -8          -1.84
   229 A Endicott                7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.20
   303 A Brockport              20- 8      12     5    ++     4.24
   307 H Ohio Northern          11- 4       7     5           1.48


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A Endicott                7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.20


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Brockport              20- 8      12     5    ++     4.24




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.10 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.01 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   167
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3


  
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