Messiah                       0 - 4


 
   Conf = MAC-Commonweal             Region = South        State = A 
   Nickname = alcons                 Coach  = tsen Bulus              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.9236984    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Gettysburg             Centennial    ( 5- 1, 88.3)    10-16   
 226 H Stockton               CSAC          ( 5- 0, 84.2)    11-18   
 304 H Elizabethtown          Landmark      ( 3- 3, 83.0)     4-14   
 307 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 3- 1, 87.1)     8-13   
 314 H Grove City             Presidents    ( 1- 2, 78.2)   
 318 A So. Virginia           CAC           ( 6- 1, 83.2)   
 321 A Eastern                MAC-Freedom   ( 2- 4, 81.7)   
 325 H Hood                   MAC-Commonwea ( 1- 2, 69.6)   
 328 A Albright               MAC-Commonwea ( 2- 3, 67.1)   
 401 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwea ( 4- 2, 82.2)   
 404 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwea ( 1- 4, 69.5)   
 408 H Alvernia               MAC-Commonwea ( 2- 2, 57.2)   
 415 A Lycoming               MAC-Commonwea ( 2- 3, 73.3)   
 418 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwea ( 1- 3, 87.3)   
 422 H Widener                MAC-Commonwea ( 4- 1, 84.8)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Gettysburg             10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   226 H Stockton               11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.08
   304 H Elizabethtown           4-14     -10    -3    ---   -6.27
   307 H Franklin & Marshall     8-13      -5    -7    +      2.84


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Elizabethtown           4-14     -10    -3    ---   -6.27
   226 H Stockton               11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.08


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Gettysburg             10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   307 H Franklin & Marshall     8-13      -5    -7    +      2.84




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.92 Local Power Rank...........    75
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.95 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   146
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   152
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....   213
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3


  
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