Elizabethtown                 3 - 3


 
   Conf = Landmark                   Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Chris Perzinski         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.9678040    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Coast Guard            NEWMAC        ( 2- 4, 79.3)    13- 8   
 222 H St. Mary's             CAC           ( 5- 1, 82.5)    10-12   
 226 H Dickinson              Centennial    ( 3- 2, 82.9)    16-12   
 229 H Stockton               CSAC          ( 5- 0, 84.2)    12-14   
 304 A Messiah                MAC-Commonwea ( 0- 4, 77.9)    14- 4   
 307 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 3- 2, 85.8)    12-19   
 314 A Widener                MAC-Commonwea ( 4- 1, 84.8)   
 321 A Catholic               Landmark      ( 3- 4, 82.6)   
 325 A York                   CAC           ( 4- 2, 89.3)   
 328 H Goucher                Landmark      ( 3- 3, 75.5)   
 404 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 3- 1, 87.1)   
 411 A Drew                   Landmark      ( 3- 2, 67.9)   
 415 H Moravian               Landmark      ( 2- 3, 68.8)   
 418 H Scranton               Landmark      ( 3- 3, 83.1)   
 425 A Susquehanna            Landmark      ( 1- 6, 72.6)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Coast Guard            13- 8       5     4           0.06
   222 H St. Mary's             10-12      -2     1    -     -3.73
   226 H Dickinson              16-12       4     1    +      2.61
   229 H Stockton               12-14      -2     0    -     -2.12
   304 A Messiah                14- 4      10     3    +++    6.27
   307 A Swarthmore             12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.83


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H St. Mary's             10-12      -2     1    -     -3.73
   229 H Stockton               12-14      -2     0    -     -2.12
   307 A Swarthmore             12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.83


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Messiah                14- 4      10     3    +++    6.27
   226 H Dickinson              16-12       4     1    +      2.61




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.97 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.22 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    89
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    91
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....   167
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3


  
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