Elmhurst                      1 - 5


 
   Conf = CCIW                       Region = South        State = IL
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Mark Morrell            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.3106003    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Ohio Northern          OAC           ( 4- 2, 77.9)     5- 9   
 216 N Capital                OAC           ( 1- 4, 74.6)    12-13  o
 225 A Albion                 MIAA          ( 4- 2, 76.2)     5-12   
 229 A Ohio Wesleyan          NCAC          ( 2- 3, 76.9)    10-14   
 303 A Hope                   MIAA          ( 3- 0, 79.0)     8-18   
 308 H Aurora                 MLC           ( 2- 4, 71.4)    15- 9   
 310 A DePauw                 NCAC          ( 1- 4, 74.1)   
 314 H Alma                   MIAA          ( 1- 3, 69.4)   
 321 N St. Mary's             CAC           ( 5- 1, 82.5)   
 401 H Illinois Wesleyan      CCIW          ( 4- 2, 80.3)   
 404 A Augustana              CCIW          ( 1- 5, 70.7)   
 408 H No. Central (IL)       CCIW          ( 3- 1, 76.3)   
 411 A Carroll                CCIW          ( 1- 3, 60.7)   
 415 A Carthage               CCIW          ( 4- 1, 74.0)   
 425 H Dubuque                CCIW          ( 2- 2, 69.5)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Ohio Northern           5- 9      -4    -5           1.90
   216 N Capital                12-13  o   -1    -1           0.25
   225 A Albion                  5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.76
   229 A Ohio Wesleyan          10-14      -4    -4           0.93
   303 A Hope                    8-18     -10    -6    -     -3.05
   308 H Aurora                 15- 9       6     3    +      2.77


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Albion                  5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.76
   303 A Hope                    8-18     -10    -6    -     -3.05


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Aurora                 15- 9       6     3    +      2.77




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.31 Local Power Rank...........   114
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.44 Local SOS Rank.............    87
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............   186
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    92
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   236
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7


  
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