Aurora                        2 - 4


 
   Conf = MLC                        Region = South        State = IL
   Nickname = Spartans               Coach  = Reid Mayberry           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   76.3921738    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Augustana              CCIW          ( 1- 5, 70.7)    10- 8   
 226 A Illinois Wesleyan      CCIW          ( 4- 2, 80.3)     9-23   
 301 A Colorado College       SCAC          ( 5- 0, 84.4)     5-17   
 301 N JWU-Denver             SCAC          ( 0- 4, 40.3)    29- 1   
 305 H John Carroll           OAC           ( 3- 1, 82.4)     9-14   
 308 A Elmhurst               CCIW          ( 1- 5, 73.3)     9-15   
 314 H No. Central (IL)       CCIW          ( 3- 1, 76.3)   
 314 H No. Central (MN)       Independent   ( 0- 1, 52.2)   
 318 A Illinois Tech          MLC           ( 0- 1, 61.2)   
 321 H Cornell College        MLC           ( 1- 1, 58.3)   
 325 A Concordia-Wisc.        MLC           ( 4- 1, 71.6)   
 328 H Marian                 MLC           ( 1- 1, 72.4)   
 404 H MSOE                   MLC           ( 3- 1, 76.7)   
 408 A Benedictine (IL)       MLC           ( 4- 1, 72.3)   
 411 A U. of Northwestern     MLC           ( 3- 0, 75.8)   
 415 H Monmouth (IL)          MLC           ( 3- 3, 70.4)   
 418 H Beloit                 MLC           ( 1- 2, 56.0)   
 422 A Concordia-Chic.        MLC           ( 0- 2, 63.0)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Augustana              10- 8       2     0    +      2.61
   226 A Illinois Wesleyan       9-23     -14   -10           0.00
   301 A Colorado College        5-17     -12   -14           0.00
   301 N JWU-Denver             29- 1      28    31           0.00
   305 H John Carroll            9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.69
   308 A Elmhurst                9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.77


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Elmhurst                9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.77


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H John Carroll            9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.69
   222 A Augustana              10- 8       2     0    +      2.61




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.39 Local Power Rank...........   135
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.20 Local SOS Rank.............   105
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............   183
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....   217
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7


  
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