Arcadia                       4 - 2


 
   Conf = MAC-Commonweal             Region = South        State = A 
   Nickname = carlet Knights         Coach  = ames Purpura            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.1674042    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Saint Vincent          Presidents    ( 3- 1, 70.9)    21- 2   
 219 A Marywood               AEC           ( 2- 5, 69.8)    16- 8   
 222 H Catholic               Landmark      ( 3- 4, 82.6)    10-11  o
 229 H Delaware Valley        MAC-Freedom   ( 3- 3, 76.5)    16- 9   
 304 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 3- 2, 85.8)     8-17   
 307 A Goucher                Landmark      ( 3- 3, 75.5)    21-13   
 311 H Manhattanville         MAC-Freedom   ( 1- 3, 69.9)   
 318 N Mount Saint Mary       Skyline       ( 1- 4, 67.3)   
 324 A St. Joseph's (LI)      Skyline       ( 1- 2, 71.8)   
 328 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwea ( 1- 4, 69.5)   
 401 H Messiah                MAC-Commonwea ( 0- 4, 77.9)   
 404 A Lycoming               MAC-Commonwea ( 2- 3, 73.3)   
 408 A Widener                MAC-Commonwea ( 4- 1, 84.8)   
 415 H Albright               MAC-Commonwea ( 2- 3, 67.1)   
 418 H Hood                   MAC-Commonwea ( 1- 2, 69.6)   
 422 A Alvernia               MAC-Commonwea ( 2- 2, 57.2)   
 424 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwea ( 1- 3, 87.3)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Saint Vincent          21- 2      19    12           0.00
   219 A Marywood               16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00
   222 H Catholic               10-11  o   -1     0          -1.84
   229 H Delaware Valley        16- 9       7     6           0.06
   304 A Swarthmore              8-17      -9    -4    --    -4.03
   307 A Goucher                21-13       8     5    +      2.62


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Swarthmore              8-17      -9    -4    --    -4.03
   219 A Marywood               16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Goucher                21-13       8     5    +      2.62




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.17 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.35 Local SOS Rank.............    75
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    98
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0


  
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