2019 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Duke ACC 11 4 7 6 3 4 3 3 10 5.00 2 Penn Ivy 11 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 11 5.00 3 Penn State Big Ten 14 1 1 11 1 1 12 1 14 41.00 4 Virginia ACC 13 3 5 15 2 2 11 2 15 3.00 5 Yale Ivy 12 3 2 14 5 5 7 5 17 15.00 6 Notre Dame ACC 8 6 10 2 12 9 2 11 22 3.00 7 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 8 7 14 1 15 8 1 15 24 0.10 8 Loyola Patriot 11 4 4 18 11 7 10 8 25 4.00 9 Cornell Ivy 10 5 11 12 6 12 8 7 27 3.00 10 Maryland Big Ten 11 4 8 4 7 11 16 6 33 4.00 11 Towson CAA 11 4 12 17 9 6 15 12 33 2.00 12 Syracuse ACC 9 4 6 5 8 10 18 9 37 3.00 13 North Carolina ACC 8 7 13 13 17 18 5 16 39 1.00 14 Denver Big East 10 5 9 16 18 13 17 17 47 4.00 15 Villanova Big East 8 7 21 7 19 17 9 23 49 0.10 16 Army Patriot 13 4 19 32 10 15 24 14 53 0.10 17 Richmond SoCon 10 6 24 35 21 19 13 21 53 1.00 18 Rutgers Big Ten 7 8 22 9 26 22 6 26 54 0.10 19 Georgetown Big East 13 4 17 31 13 16 26 13 55 1.00 20 High Point SoCon 13 3 23 47 14 20 30 10 60 0.10 21 Ohio State Big Ten 8 4 16 10 16 14 31 18 63 4.00 22 Princeton Ivy 7 7 18 22 25 25 22 25 72 0.10 23 Air Force SoCon 10 5 27 50 23 23 28 22 73 0.10 24 Lehigh Patriot 9 8 29 34 34 30 14 32 76 0.10 25 UMass CAA 10 5 15 37 22 21 36 19 76 1.00 26 Robert Morris Northeast 9 7 39 41 39 24 20 36 80 0.10 27 Brown Ivy 7 9 25 21 32 32 19 34 85 0.10 28 Marist MAAC 10 6 54 62 28 26 37 28 91 0.10 29 Boston U. Patriot 11 6 20 36 27 27 42 27 96 0.10 30 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 9 7 45 48 38 34 29 33 96 0.10 31 Drexel CAA 7 8 26 23 44 28 27 44 99 0.10 32 Delaware CAA 10 5 31 45 20 33 48 20 101 0.10 33 Michigan Big Ten 4 9 32 8 45 37 25 41 103 0.10 34 Navy Patriot 6 7 40 20 30 31 39 35 105 0.10 35 Bucknell Patriot 6 9 35 24 48 36 23 48 107 0.10 36 Jacksonville SoCon 6 9 46 33 51 40 21 47 108 0.10 37 Marquette Big East 6 8 36 25 42 38 34 39 111 0.10 38 Cleveland State Independent 8 7 37 43 33 43 41 31 115 0.10 39 Holy Cross Patriot 7 7 30 29 37 35 45 38 118 0.10 40 Sacred Heart Northeast 9 6 34 56 36 39 46 37 122 0.10 41 Harvard Ivy 5 8 43 19 35 45 33 45 123 0.10 42 Hobart Northeast 11 5 33 57 24 29 70 24 123 0.10 43 Stony Brook America East 9 6 48 44 31 41 55 30 126 0.10 44 Hofstra CAA 6 9 41 26 55 44 32 54 130 0.10 45 Vermont America East 8 7 38 51 41 42 50 42 134 0.10 46 Colgate Patriot 4 9 44 27 50 47 38 51 136 0.10 47 Albany America East 5 9 42 28 47 49 40 49 138 0.10 48 Providence Big East 8 9 28 30 53 46 43 55 144 0.10 49 Quinnipiac MAAC 9 7 62 68 40 50 57 40 147 0.10 50 Utah Independent 5 10 56 42 54 55 35 58 148 0.10 51 Saint Joseph's Northeast 7 7 50 58 46 52 53 46 151 0.10 52 Detroit Mercy MAAC 8 7 58 64 43 48 61 43 152 0.10 53 UMBC America East 6 8 47 52 57 51 51 53 155 0.10 54 Fairfield CAA 5 9 55 40 58 53 47 57 157 0.10 55 Canisius MAAC 8 8 51 66 52 54 52 52 158 0.10 56 Furman SoCon 4 10 52 55 62 58 44 61 163 0.10 57 Hampton Independent 6 5 73 73 29 73 73 29 175 0.10 58 Siena MAAC 6 7 63 70 49 56 69 50 175 0.10 59 St. John's Big East 4 10 49 39 64 57 56 63 176 0.10 60 Lafayette Patriot 4 11 65 46 65 60 58 66 184 0.10 61 UMass Lowell America East 5 9 57 61 61 59 67 62 188 0.10 62 Monmouth MAAC 4 8 67 71 59 61 68 60 189 0.10 63 St. Bonaventure MAAC 0 13 72 60 73 67 49 73 189 0.10 64 Bellarmine SoCon 3 10 60 59 66 63 62 65 190 0.10 65 VMI SoCon 4 9 69 65 60 65 66 59 190 0.10 66 Bryant Northeast 3 11 53 54 67 62 60 69 191 0.10 67 Mercer SoCon 1 12 59 49 70 68 54 70 192 0.10 68 Manhattan MAAC 6 8 68 72 56 66 72 56 194 0.10 69 Dartmouth Ivy 2 11 61 38 63 70 63 64 197 0.10 70 Hartford America East 4 11 64 63 68 64 65 68 197 0.10 71 Binghamton America East 2 11 66 53 69 69 64 67 200 0.10 72 NJIT Independent 2 13 71 67 72 71 59 72 202 0.10 73 Wagner Northeast 2 12 70 69 71 72 71 71 214 0.10