Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = MA Nickname = Ephmen Coach = George McCormackGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.2231293 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Wesleyan NESCAC (12- 3, 90.8) 12-14 309 H Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 8, 83.5) 18-12 315 H Union Liberty (14- 3, 89.3) 12-11 317 A Connecticut Coll. NESCAC ( 5-10, 82.5) 18- 9 320 A Rensselaer Liberty (12- 5, 85.9) 16- 7 323 H Bates NESCAC (10- 5, 88.0) 16-14 327 N MIT NEWMAC (10- 8, 78.2) 16- 9 329 A Colorado College Independent ( 7- 7, 81.9) 19- 9 403 A Tufts NESCAC (17- 1, 92.9) 14-15 406 H Amherst NESCAC (14- 3, 94.9) 13-11 409 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 5- 9, 84.0) 12- 6 413 A Colby NESCAC ( 8- 7, 83.4) 11- 6 417 H Western New Eng. CCC (14- 5, 82.4) 19- 7 420 H Bowdoin NESCAC ( 6- 9, 83.8) 17- 9 424 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 8- 9, 88.4) 14-12 427 H Colby NESCAC ( 8- 7, 83.4) 12- 9 504 N Amherst NESCAC (14- 3, 94.9) 11- 8 505 A Tufts NESCAC (17- 1, 92.9) 16-17 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A Wesleyan 12-14 -2 0 -1.42 309 H Trinity 18-12 6 8 - -2.71 315 H Union 12-11 1 2 -1.93 317 A Connecticut Coll. 18- 9 9 7 1.25 320 A Rensselaer 16- 7 9 4 ++ 4.65 323 H Bates 16-14 2 4 - -2.22 327 N MIT 16- 9 7 12 - -3.00 329 A Colorado College 19- 9 10 8 1.61 403 A Tufts 14-15 -1 -2 1.59 406 H Amherst 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.72 409 A Hamilton 12- 6 6 6 -0.24 413 A Colby 11- 6 5 6 -1.86 417 H Western New Eng. 19- 7 12 9 0.24 420 H Bowdoin 17- 9 8 8 -0.40 424 H Middlebury 14-12 2 3 -1.79 427 H Colby 12- 9 3 8 -- -5.78 504 N Amherst 11- 8 3 -3 +++ 6.68 505 A Tufts 16-17 o -1 -2 1.59UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 H Colby 12- 9 3 8 -- -5.78 309 H Trinity 18-12 6 8 - -2.71 323 H Bates 16-14 2 4 - -2.22 327 N MIT 16- 9 7 12 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 N Amherst 11- 8 3 -3 +++ 6.68 320 A Rensselaer 16- 7 9 4 ++ 4.65 406 H Amherst 13-11 2 -2 ++ 4.72/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.22 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 70.45 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.70 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7