Conf = LEC                        Region = North        State = CT
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Ryan Cavanagh           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.8467789    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 A Sage College           Empire 8      ( 8- 9, 62.8)    21- 8   
 226 H Mount Saint Mary       Skyline       ( 5-11, 68.4)    12- 8   
 302 H St. Joseph's LI        Skyline       ( 6- 9, 72.1)     8- 9   
 307 H King's                 MAC-Freedom   ( 4-11, 71.7)    14- 9   
 310 A Merchant Marine        Skyline       (11- 5, 78.8)    12-14   
 313 A Wesley                 AEC           ( 3-12, 62.9)    18- 7   
 316 H Wooster                NCAC          ( 7-11, 74.4)     9-13   
 320 H Cazenovia              NEAC          ( 6- 6, 69.2)    21-14   
 323 H Salem State            LEC           ( 2-11, 60.5)    14- 5   
 326 H Manhattanville         MAC-Freedom   ( 7- 8, 74.7)    10-19   
 330 H Plymouth State         LEC           ( 8- 8, 72.4)    14-15   
 406 H Southern Maine         LEC           ( 6- 7, 66.9)    21-11   
 409 A Eastern Conn.          LEC           ( 6- 9, 69.9)    15-12   
 413 A Castleton              LEC           ( 5-12, 66.9)    21- 3   
 417 H UMass Dartmouth        LEC           ( 8-10, 71.2)    11-10   
 420 A Keene State            LEC           (11- 5, 81.5)     3-22   
 426 A UMass Boston           LEC           ( 5-14, 68.9)    10-16   
 430 H UMass Boston           LEC           ( 5-14, 68.9)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Sage College           21- 8      13     8           1.95
   226 H Mount Saint Mary       12- 8       4     4          -0.39
   302 H St. Joseph's LI         8- 9      -1     0          -1.75
   307 H King's                 14- 9       5     1    +      3.88
   310 A Merchant Marine        12-14      -2    -7    ++     5.95
   313 A Wesley                 18- 7      11     7    +      2.01
   316 H Wooster                 9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.43
   320 H Cazenovia              21-14       7     3    +      3.40
   323 H Salem State            14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   326 H Manhattanville         10-19      -9    -1    ---   -7.08
   330 H Plymouth State         14-15      -1     0          -1.45
   406 H Southern Maine         21-11      10     5    ++     4.14
   409 A Eastern Conn.          15-12       3     0    +      2.03
   413 A Castleton              21- 3      18     3    +++    6.04
   417 H UMass Dartmouth        11-10       1     1          -0.64
   420 A Keene State             3-22     -19   -10           0.00
   426 A UMass Boston           10-16      -6     2    ---   -8.02
   430 H UMass Boston            7-11      -4     3    ---   -7.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Manhattanville         10-19      -9    -1    ---   -7.08
   426 A UMass Boston           10-16      -6     2    ---   -8.02
   430 H UMass Boston            7-11      -4     3    ---   -7.93
   316 H Wooster                 9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Castleton              21- 3      18     3    +++    6.04
   310 A Merchant Marine        12-14      -2    -7    ++     5.95
   406 H Southern Maine         21-11      10     5    ++     4.14
   307 H King's                 14- 9       5     1    +      3.88
   313 A Wesley                 18- 7      11     7    +      2.01
   320 H Cazenovia              21-14       7     3    +      3.40
   409 A Eastern Conn.          15-12       3     0    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.85 Local Power Rank...........   135
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.59 Local SOS Rank.............   154
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............   159
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   233
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   122
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/