Conf = LEC Region = North State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Ryan CavanaghGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.8467789 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 A Sage College Empire 8 ( 8- 9, 62.8) 21- 8 226 H Mount Saint Mary Skyline ( 5-11, 68.4) 12- 8 302 H St. Joseph's LI Skyline ( 6- 9, 72.1) 8- 9 307 H King's MAC-Freedom ( 4-11, 71.7) 14- 9 310 A Merchant Marine Skyline (11- 5, 78.8) 12-14 313 A Wesley AEC ( 3-12, 62.9) 18- 7 316 H Wooster NCAC ( 7-11, 74.4) 9-13 320 H Cazenovia NEAC ( 6- 6, 69.2) 21-14 323 H Salem State LEC ( 2-11, 60.5) 14- 5 326 H Manhattanville MAC-Freedom ( 7- 8, 74.7) 10-19 330 H Plymouth State LEC ( 8- 8, 72.4) 14-15 406 H Southern Maine LEC ( 6- 7, 66.9) 21-11 409 A Eastern Conn. LEC ( 6- 9, 69.9) 15-12 413 A Castleton LEC ( 5-12, 66.9) 21- 3 417 H UMass Dartmouth LEC ( 8-10, 71.2) 11-10 420 A Keene State LEC (11- 5, 81.5) 3-22 426 A UMass Boston LEC ( 5-14, 68.9) 10-16 430 H UMass Boston LEC ( 5-14, 68.9) 7-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A Sage College 21- 8 13 8 1.95 226 H Mount Saint Mary 12- 8 4 4 -0.39 302 H St. Joseph's LI 8- 9 -1 0 -1.75 307 H King's 14- 9 5 1 + 3.88 310 A Merchant Marine 12-14 -2 -7 ++ 5.95 313 A Wesley 18- 7 11 7 + 2.01 316 H Wooster 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.43 320 H Cazenovia 21-14 7 3 + 3.40 323 H Salem State 14- 5 9 12 -1.00 326 H Manhattanville 10-19 -9 -1 --- -7.08 330 H Plymouth State 14-15 -1 0 -1.45 406 H Southern Maine 21-11 10 5 ++ 4.14 409 A Eastern Conn. 15-12 3 0 + 2.03 413 A Castleton 21- 3 18 3 +++ 6.04 417 H UMass Dartmouth 11-10 1 1 -0.64 420 A Keene State 3-22 -19 -10 0.00 426 A UMass Boston 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.02 430 H UMass Boston 7-11 -4 3 --- -7.93UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Manhattanville 10-19 -9 -1 --- -7.08 426 A UMass Boston 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.02 430 H UMass Boston 7-11 -4 3 --- -7.93 316 H Wooster 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A Castleton 21- 3 18 3 +++ 6.04 310 A Merchant Marine 12-14 -2 -7 ++ 5.95 406 H Southern Maine 21-11 10 5 ++ 4.14 307 H King's 14- 9 5 1 + 3.88 313 A Wesley 18- 7 11 7 + 2.01 320 H Cazenovia 21-14 7 3 + 3.40 409 A Eastern Conn. 15-12 3 0 + 2.03/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.85 Local Power Rank........... 135 Local SOS Rating......... 41.59 Local SOS Rank............. 154 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 159 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 233 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 122 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -9.7