Conf = Centennial Region = South State = PA Nickname = Bears Coach = Gary MercadanteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.5023499 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 86.2) 13- 9 223 A Mary Washington CAC ( 7-11, 78.1) 10- 9 2o 227 H Cortland SUNYAC (14- 4, 86.8) 15- 9 302 N Christopher Newport CAC (12- 7, 84.9) 12-10 309 A Lycoming MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 76.1) 16- 6 313 H Eastern MAC-Freedom (12- 7, 78.6) 16- 7 323 A Gettysburg Centennial (14- 4, 87.5) 9-13 327 A Washington Coll. Centennial ( 7- 9, 84.4) 10- 7 330 H Swarthmore Centennial ( 9- 6, 80.8) 16-13 406 H McDaniel Centennial ( 2-14, 76.1) 16- 7 413 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (12- 5, 87.8) 16-15 o 420 H Haverford Centennial ( 5-10, 79.0) 9-12 424 A Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 6, 82.1) 20-11 427 H Dickinson Centennial (11- 6, 87.5) 8-11 501 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (12- 5, 87.8) 12-11 504 A Gettysburg Centennial (14- 4, 87.5) 10- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 A Stevenson 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.67 223 A Mary Washington 10- 9 2o 1 7 --- -6.40 227 H Cortland 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.36 302 N Christopher Newport 12-10 2 1 0.41 309 A Lycoming 16- 6 10 9 0.58 313 H Eastern 16- 7 9 8 0.16 323 A Gettysburg 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.05 327 A Washington Coll. 10- 7 3 1 1.81 330 H Swarthmore 16-13 3 6 - -3.66 406 H McDaniel 16- 7 9 11 -1.00 413 A Franklin & Marshall 16-15 o 1 -2 + 3.22 420 H Haverford 9-12 -3 8 --- -11.51 424 A Muhlenberg 20-11 9 3 ++ 5.51 427 H Dickinson 8-11 -3 0 - -2.94 501 A Franklin & Marshall 12-11 1 -2 + 3.22 504 A Gettysburg 10- 8 2 -1 + 3.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A Mary Washington 10- 9 2o 1 7 --- -6.40 420 H Haverford 9-12 -3 8 --- -11.51 323 A Gettysburg 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.05 330 H Swarthmore 16-13 3 6 - -3.66 427 H Dickinson 8-11 -3 0 - -2.94OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 A Stevenson 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.67 227 H Cortland 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.36 424 A Muhlenberg 20-11 9 3 ++ 5.51 413 A Franklin & Marshall 16-15 o 1 -2 + 3.22 501 A Franklin & Marshall 12-11 1 -2 + 3.22 504 A Gettysburg 10- 8 2 -1 + 3.95/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.50 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 63.45 Local SOS Rank............. 20 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 222 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0