Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.2691345 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 202 N Mercer SoCon ( 1-12, 85.3) 20- 9 209 H Furman SoCon ( 4-10, 86.7) 14-10 216 H Harvard Ivy ( 5- 8, 89.6) 16-11 223 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten ( 8- 7, 94.2) 10-11 302 H Denver Big East (10- 5, 95.1) 10-12 308 H Marist MAAC (10- 6, 86.3) 17- 5 312 H Bucknell Patriot ( 6- 9, 90.7) 12- 7 317 N Cleveland State Independent ( 8- 7, 90.4) 15- 9 323 A Maryland Big Ten (11- 4, 95.2) 9-16 330 H Duke ACC (11- 4, 96.0) 10- 8 406 A Virginia ACC (13- 3, 96.0) 10-11 413 H Syracuse ACC ( 9- 4, 96.0) 9-12 420 A Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 6, 94.8) 10-12 425 N Syracuse ACC ( 9- 4, 96.0) 11-10 427 N Virginia ACC (13- 3, 96.0) 13-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 202 N Mercer 20- 9 11 8 1.06 209 H Furman 14-10 4 8 -- -4.17 216 H Harvard 16-11 5 5 -0.31 223 H Johns Hopkins 10-11 -1 0 -1.72 302 H Denver 10-12 -2 0 -1.80 308 H Marist 17- 5 12 8 1.45 312 H Bucknell 12- 7 5 4 0.77 317 N Cleveland State 15- 9 6 3 + 2.15 323 A Maryland 9-16 -7 -1 -- -5.46 330 H Duke 10- 8 2 -1 + 3.07 406 A Virginia 10-11 -1 -2 1.32 413 H Syracuse 9-12 -3 -1 -1.91 420 A Notre Dame 10-12 -2 -1 -0.86 425 N Syracuse 11-10 1 -1 + 2.70 427 N Virginia 13-14 -1 -1 0.71UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Furman 14-10 4 8 -- -4.17 323 A Maryland 9-16 -7 -1 -- -5.46OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 N Cleveland State 15- 9 6 3 + 2.15 330 H Duke 10- 8 2 -1 + 3.07 425 N Syracuse 11-10 1 -1 + 2.70/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.27 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 82.65 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7