Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = MA Nickname = River Hawks Coach = Ed StephensonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.6469421 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 9- 7, 84.7) 12-10 219 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7- 7, 91.1) 7-12 223 H Siena MAAC ( 6- 7, 84.6) 15-16 305 A Dartmouth Ivy ( 2-11, 84.9) 13- 8 309 A Manhattan MAAC ( 6- 8, 81.8) 8- 5 312 A UMass CAA (10- 5, 94.1) 4-14 316 A Albany America East ( 5- 9, 89.7) 11-17 319 H Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 91.6) 4-14 323 A St. John's Big East ( 4-10, 88.0) 13-15 330 H Vermont America East ( 8- 7, 90.3) 8- 4 406 A Hartford America East ( 4-11, 84.4) 11-14 413 H Stony Brook America East ( 9- 6, 88.4) 12-15 420 A UMBC America East ( 6- 8, 88.6) 13-12 426 H Binghamton America East ( 2-11, 83.8) 7- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Quinnipiac 12-10 2 1 0.47 219 H Holy Cross 7-12 -5 -4 -0.19 223 H Siena 15-16 -1 1 - -2.69 305 A Dartmouth 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.86 309 A Manhattan 8- 5 3 3 -0.19 312 A UMass 4-14 -10 -9 -0.93 316 A Albany 11-17 -6 -4 -1.30 319 H Providence 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.65 323 A St. John's 13-15 -2 -3 1.01 330 H Vermont 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.05 406 A Hartford 11-14 -3 0 - -3.65 413 H Stony Brook 12-15 -3 -2 -0.84 420 A UMBC 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.55 426 H Binghamton 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.50UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Providence 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.65 426 H Binghamton 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.50 223 H Siena 15-16 -1 1 - -2.69 406 A Hartford 11-14 -3 0 - -3.65OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Vermont 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.05 305 A Dartmouth 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.86 420 A UMBC 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.55/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.65 Local Power Rank........... 57 Local SOS Rating......... 71.98 Local SOS Rank............. 61 Local RPI Rating......... 0.40 Local RPI Rank............. 59 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 67 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 61 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3