UMBC                          6 - 8


 
   Conf = America East               Region = Southeast    State = MD
   Nickname = Retrievers             Coach  = Ryan Moran              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   88.5814590    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 6- 7, 90.1)     6-11   
 219 A Richmond               SoCon         (10- 6, 92.3)    12-17   
 223 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 9- 7, 89.0)    13-10   
 302 H Brown                  Ivy           ( 7- 9, 92.3)    13-14   
 309 A High Point             SoCon         (13- 3, 92.4)    13-22   
 316 H Vermont                America East  ( 8- 7, 90.3)    11-12   
 323 A Stony Brook            America East  ( 9- 6, 88.4)     7-14   
 330 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 4-11, 84.0)    19- 8   
 406 H Binghamton             America East  ( 2-11, 83.8)    13- 6   
 413 A Albany                 America East  ( 5- 9, 89.7)     7- 9   
 420 H UMass Lowell           America East  ( 5- 9, 85.6)    12-13   
 427 A Hartford               America East  ( 4-11, 84.4)    11- 9   
 502 N Stony Brook            America East  ( 9- 6, 88.4)    14- 8   
 504 N Vermont                America East  ( 8- 7, 90.3)    14-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Navy                    6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.87
   219 A Richmond               12-17      -5    -4          -0.62
   223 H Mount St. Mary's       13-10       3     0    +      2.83
   302 H Brown                  13-14      -1    -3    +      2.07
   309 A High Point             13-22      -9    -4    --    -4.57
   316 H Vermont                11-12      -1    -1           0.11
   323 A Stony Brook             7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.54
   330 H Lafayette              19- 8      11     5    ++     4.81
   406 H Binghamton             13- 6       7     5           1.57
   413 A Albany                  7- 9      -2    -1          -0.23
   420 H UMass Lowell           12-13      -1     3    --    -4.55
   427 A Hartford               11- 9       2     3          -1.58
   502 N Stony Brook            14- 8       6     0    ++     5.84
   504 N Vermont                14-13       1    -1    +      2.73


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Stony Brook             7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.54
   309 A High Point             13-22      -9    -4    --    -4.57
   420 H UMass Lowell           12-13      -1     3    --    -4.55
   215 A Navy                    6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.87


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Lafayette              19- 8      11     5    ++     4.81
   502 N Stony Brook            14- 8       6     0    ++     5.84
   223 H Mount St. Mary's       13-10       3     0    +      2.83
   302 H Brown                  13-14      -1    -3    +      2.07
   504 N Vermont                14-13       1    -1    +      2.73




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.58 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.15 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    68
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    57
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0


  
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