Conf = MAC-Commonwlth Region = South State = MD Nickname = Mustangs Coach = Paul CantabeneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.2183990 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 H Ursinus Centennial (13- 3, 86.5) 9-13 223 A Denison NCAC (16- 2, 86.4) 13- 6 302 A Gettysburg Centennial (14- 4, 87.5) 9-16 309 H Salisbury CAC (18- 1, 93.2) 9-14 315 H Lynchburg ODAC (13- 6, 89.5) 9-11 316 H York CAC (17- 2, 89.1) 4-12 319 H Tufts NESCAC (17- 1, 92.9) 7-19 327 H Hood MAC-Commonwlt (10- 5, 74.1) 21- 5 330 H Albright MAC-Commonwlt ( 1-13, 68.3) 20- 4 403 H Christopher Newport CAC (12- 7, 84.9) 14- 8 406 H Lycoming MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 76.1) 16- 8 409 A Alvernia MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 62.9) 33- 4 412 A Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 78.4) 18- 9 416 H Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 75.0) 11- 5 419 A Cabrini AEC (17- 2, 89.4) 11-17 424 A Messiah MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 80.0) 17- 6 427 A Arcadia MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 78.3) 19-10 501 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 78.4) 12- 8 504 H Lycoming MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 76.1) 23- 4PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Ursinus 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.67 223 A Denison 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.18 302 A Gettysburg 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.77 309 H Salisbury 9-14 -5 -6 1.01 315 H Lynchburg 9-11 -2 -2 0.32 316 H York 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.06 319 H Tufts 7-19 -12 -5 -- -4.32 327 H Hood 21- 5 16 13 0.00 330 H Albright 20- 4 16 18 0.00 403 H Christopher Newport 14- 8 6 2 + 3.74 406 H Lycoming 16- 8 8 11 - -2.00 409 A Alvernia 33- 4 29 22 0.00 412 A Widener 18- 9 9 6 + 2.10 416 H Lebanon Valley 11- 5 6 12 -- -4.00 419 A Cabrini 11-17 -6 -4 -1.88 424 A Messiah 17- 6 11 5 ++ 4.71 427 A Arcadia 19-10 9 6 + 2.08 501 H Widener 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.82 504 H Lycoming 23- 4 19 11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H York 4-12 -8 -1 --- -6.06 216 H Ursinus 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.67 302 A Gettysburg 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.77 319 H Tufts 7-19 -12 -5 -- -4.32 416 H Lebanon Valley 11- 5 6 12 -- -4.00 501 H Widener 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.82 406 H Lycoming 16- 8 8 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A Denison 13- 6 7 -1 +++ 8.18 424 A Messiah 17- 6 11 5 ++ 4.71 403 H Christopher Newport 14- 8 6 2 + 3.74 412 A Widener 18- 9 9 6 + 2.10 427 A Arcadia 19-10 9 6 + 2.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.22 Local Power Rank........... 23 Local SOS Rating......... 60.92 Local SOS Rank............. 29 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 207 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 40 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 16.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 22.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 18.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 10.7