Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Andrew McMinn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1999664    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Penn State             Big Ten       (14- 1, 99.9)    10-27   
 216 A Georgetown             Big East      (13- 4, 94.0)    11-14   
 223 H Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 3-10, 85.1)    15- 7   
 302 A High Point             SoCon         (13- 3, 92.4)    15-16   
 309 H Canisius               MAAC          ( 8- 8, 86.8)     8-12   
 312 H Marquette              Big East      ( 6- 8, 90.4)    15-17   
 316 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 9- 6, 90.8)    16-18   
 323 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 9- 7, 89.0)    11-14   
 330 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     ( 7- 7, 87.0)    15- 9   
 406 H Wagner                 Northeast     ( 2-12, 81.1)    17- 6   
 410 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 9- 8, 91.6)    13-12   
 413 A Cleveland State        Independent   ( 8- 7, 90.4)    13- 8   
 420 A Bryant                 Northeast     ( 3-11, 86.6)    20-16   
 427 H Hobart                 Northeast     (11- 5, 90.9)    16-15   
 502 N Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 9- 7, 89.0)    13-12   
 504 N Hobart                 Northeast     (11- 5, 90.9)    11-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Penn State             10-27     -17   -10           0.00
   216 A Georgetown             11-14      -3    -4           1.40
   223 H Bellarmine             15- 7       8     5    +      2.27
   302 A High Point             15-16      -1    -2           1.81
   309 H Canisius                8-12      -4     4    ---   -8.02
   312 H Marquette              15-17      -2     0    -     -2.37
   316 A Sacred Heart           16-18      -2    -1          -0.77
   323 H Mount St. Mary's       11-14      -3     1    --    -4.79
   330 A Saint Joseph's         15- 9       6     2    +      3.44
   406 H Wagner                 17- 6      11     9           0.28
   410 A Lehigh                 13-12       1    -2    +      3.02
   413 A Cleveland State        13- 8       5     0    ++     5.84
   420 A Bryant                 20-16       4     2           1.02
   427 H Hobart                 16-15       1     0           1.05
   502 N Mount St. Mary's       13-12       1     1          -0.17
   504 N Hobart                 11-10       1     0           1.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Canisius                8-12      -4     4    ---   -8.02
   323 H Mount St. Mary's       11-14      -3     1    --    -4.79
   312 H Marquette              15-17      -2     0    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Cleveland State        13- 8       5     0    ++     5.84
   223 H Bellarmine             15- 7       8     5    +      2.27
   330 A Saint Joseph's         15- 9       6     2    +      3.44
   410 A Lehigh                 13-12       1    -2    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.20 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.60 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/