Conf = USA South                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.0002747    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 H Emmanuel GA            Carolinas     ( 4-12, 70.7)    14- 9   
 216 A Southern VA            CAC           ( 5-12, 78.2)    10-24   
 223 N Neumann                AEC           ( 9- 7, 71.1)     6-14   
 302 A Brevard                USA South     ( 6- 7, 68.0)    15-11   
 306 H Ohio Northern          OAC           (13- 5, 77.5)     8-22   
 312 H Franciscan             Presidents    ( 0-15, 48.9)    23- 8   
 315 H Southwestern           Independent   ( 9- 6, 75.3)     9-21   
 317 A Averett                USA South     ( 1-12, 55.0)    21- 6   
 320 H Guilford               ODAC          ( 8- 9, 72.2)    13-16   
 323 H Methodist              USA South     ( 9- 7, 68.2)    15-10   
 327 H Ferrum                 ODAC          ( 2-15, 66.2)    14- 7   
 330 H Piedmont               USA South     ( 9- 8, 70.1)    18-17   
 406 A Huntingdon             USA South     (12- 7, 71.1)     7-18   
 413 A Greensboro             USA South     ( 7-11, 68.2)    13-10   
 420 H William Peace          USA South     ( 6-11, 66.9)    16-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Emmanuel GA            14- 9       5    -2          n/a  
   216 A Southern VA            10-24     -14   -12           0.00
   223 N Neumann                 6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.90
   302 A Brevard                15-11       4    -1    ++     6.00
   306 H Ohio Northern           8-22     -14    -9          -0.50
   312 H Franciscan             23- 8      15    19           0.00
   315 H Southwestern            9-21     -12    -7    -     -2.67
   317 A Averett                21- 6      15    11           0.00
   320 H Guilford               13-16      -3    -4           1.26
   323 H Methodist              15-10       5     0    ++     5.23
   327 H Ferrum                 14- 7       7     1    ++     5.21
   330 H Piedmont               18-17       1    -2    +      3.09
   406 A Huntingdon              7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.91
   413 A Greensboro             13-10       3    -2    ++     5.20
   420 H William Peace          16-20      -4     1    --    -5.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Emmanuel GA            14- 9   
   209 H Emmanuel GA            14- 9   
   406 A Huntingdon              7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.91
   420 H William Peace          16-20      -4     1    --    -5.06
   209 H Emmanuel GA            14- 9   
   223 N Neumann                 6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.90
   315 H Southwestern            9-21     -12    -7    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Emmanuel GA            14- 9   
   209 H Emmanuel GA            14- 9   
   302 A Brevard                15-11       4    -1    ++     6.00
   323 H Methodist              15-10       5     0    ++     5.23
   327 H Ferrum                 14- 7       7     1    ++     5.21
   413 A Greensboro             13-10       3    -2    ++     5.20
   209 H Emmanuel GA            14- 9   
   330 H Piedmont               18-17       1    -2    +      3.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.00 Local Power Rank...........   174
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.68 Local SOS Rank.............   168
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   165
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   175
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   115
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/