Conf = USA South Region = South State = NC Nickname = Falcons Coach = Scott NelsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.0002747 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Emmanuel GA Carolinas ( 4-12, 70.7) 14- 9 216 A Southern VA CAC ( 5-12, 78.2) 10-24 223 N Neumann AEC ( 9- 7, 71.1) 6-14 302 A Brevard USA South ( 6- 7, 68.0) 15-11 306 H Ohio Northern OAC (13- 5, 77.5) 8-22 312 H Franciscan Presidents ( 0-15, 48.9) 23- 8 315 H Southwestern Independent ( 9- 6, 75.3) 9-21 317 A Averett USA South ( 1-12, 55.0) 21- 6 320 H Guilford ODAC ( 8- 9, 72.2) 13-16 323 H Methodist USA South ( 9- 7, 68.2) 15-10 327 H Ferrum ODAC ( 2-15, 66.2) 14- 7 330 H Piedmont USA South ( 9- 8, 70.1) 18-17 406 A Huntingdon USA South (12- 7, 71.1) 7-18 413 A Greensboro USA South ( 7-11, 68.2) 13-10 420 H William Peace USA South ( 6-11, 66.9) 16-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Emmanuel GA 14- 9 5 -2 n/a 216 A Southern VA 10-24 -14 -12 0.00 223 N Neumann 6-14 -8 -4 - -3.90 302 A Brevard 15-11 4 -1 ++ 6.00 306 H Ohio Northern 8-22 -14 -9 -0.50 312 H Franciscan 23- 8 15 19 0.00 315 H Southwestern 9-21 -12 -7 - -2.67 317 A Averett 21- 6 15 11 0.00 320 H Guilford 13-16 -3 -4 1.26 323 H Methodist 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.23 327 H Ferrum 14- 7 7 1 ++ 5.21 330 H Piedmont 18-17 1 -2 + 3.09 406 A Huntingdon 7-18 -11 -5 -- -4.91 413 A Greensboro 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.20 420 H William Peace 16-20 -4 1 -- -5.06UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Emmanuel GA 14- 9 209 H Emmanuel GA 14- 9 406 A Huntingdon 7-18 -11 -5 -- -4.91 420 H William Peace 16-20 -4 1 -- -5.06 209 H Emmanuel GA 14- 9 223 N Neumann 6-14 -8 -4 - -3.90 315 H Southwestern 9-21 -12 -7 - -2.67OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Emmanuel GA 14- 9 209 H Emmanuel GA 14- 9 302 A Brevard 15-11 4 -1 ++ 6.00 323 H Methodist 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.23 327 H Ferrum 14- 7 7 1 ++ 5.21 413 A Greensboro 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.20 209 H Emmanuel GA 14- 9 330 H Piedmont 18-17 1 -2 + 3.09/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 67.00 Local Power Rank........... 174 Local SOS Rating......... 39.68 Local SOS Rank............. 168 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 165 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 175 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 115 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 15.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0