Conf = East Coast                 Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Bill Dunn               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.8871765    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 A Palm Beach Atlantic    Sunshine Stat ( 6-10, 78.2)    11-17   
 217 A Lynn                   Sunshine Stat (11- 4, 85.1)     5-19   
 223 A Merrimack              NE10          (13- 3, 89.7)    13-20   
 302 H Bentley                NE10          ( 9- 5, 83.3)     5- 8   
 306 H Chestnut Hill          CACC          (11- 5, 81.0)    13-12   
 309 A Wheeling Jesuit        GMAC          ( 3-11, 72.7)    20- 6   
 313 A Pace                   NE10          (13- 4, 87.5)    10-12   
 317 A Le Moyne               NE10          (15- 2, 91.1)     7-23   
 323 H Seton Hill             GMAC          (12- 4, 87.9)     8-12   
 330 H Tampa                  Sunshine Stat (14- 5, 87.7)    12-16   
 403 H Adelphi                NE10          (16- 2, 90.4)    12-16   
 406 H Mercy                  East Coast    (16- 1, 85.5)     7-20   
 413 A LIU Post               East Coast    (11- 5, 87.6)    14-17   
 417 A Molloy                 East Coast    ( 7- 8, 78.5)     8- 9  o
 420 H U. of DC               East Coast    ( 4- 9, 74.5)    21-11   
 423 H St. Thomas Aquin       East Coast    ( 7- 7, 75.0)    13- 8   
 427 A Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 7- 8, 79.6)    11- 2   
 501 A LIU Post               East Coast    (11- 5, 87.6)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Palm Beach Atlantic    11-17      -6     1    ---   -7.69
   217 A Lynn                    5-19     -14    -5    --    -4.80
   223 A Merrimack              13-20      -7    -9    +      2.87
   302 H Bentley                 5- 8      -3    -1          -1.59
   306 H Chestnut Hill          13-12       1     0           0.07
   309 A Wheeling Jesuit        20- 6      14     7    +      2.85
   313 A Pace                   10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.66
   317 A Le Moyne                7-23     -16   -11           0.00
   323 H Seton Hill              8-12      -4    -6    +      2.02
   330 H Tampa                  12-16      -4    -5           1.75
   403 H Adelphi                12-16      -4    -8    ++     4.48
   406 H Mercy                   7-20     -13    -3    ---   -6.40
   413 A LIU Post               14-17      -3    -7    ++     4.75
   417 A Molloy                  8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.35
   420 H U. of DC               21-11      10     7    +      2.57
   423 H St. Thomas Aquin       13- 8       5     6          -1.96
   427 A Roberts Wesleyan       11- 2       9     0    +++    8.79
   501 A LIU Post                4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Palm Beach Atlantic    11-17      -6     1    ---   -7.69
   406 H Mercy                   7-20     -13    -3    ---   -6.40
   217 A Lynn                    5-19     -14    -5    --    -4.80
   417 A Molloy                  8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.35
   501 A LIU Post                4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Roberts Wesleyan       11- 2       9     0    +++    8.79
   313 A Pace                   10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.66
   403 H Adelphi                12-16      -4    -8    ++     4.48
   413 A LIU Post               14-17      -3    -7    ++     4.75
   223 A Merrimack              13-20      -7    -9    +      2.87
   309 A Wheeling Jesuit        20- 6      14     7    +      2.85
   323 H Seton Hill              8-12      -4    -6    +      2.02
   420 H U. of DC               21-11      10     7    +      2.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.89 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.25 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
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