Conf = MAC-Commonwlth Region = South State = PA Nickname = Warriors Coach = Chris ScanlonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.1207352 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 A Susquehanna Landmark (11- 8, 78.5) 8- 9 223 H Gwynedd Mercy AEC (10- 6, 74.4) 7- 8 o 227 H Ithaca Liberty ( 9- 6, 84.8) 3-17 302 A King's MAC-Freedom ( 4-11, 71.7) 11- 8 309 H Ursinus Centennial (13- 3, 86.5) 6-16 313 N Keene State LEC (11- 5, 81.5) 7-17 315 N UMass Boston LEC ( 5-14, 68.9) 13- 9 323 H Brockport SUNYAC ( 6- 8, 75.6) 5- 7 327 A Messiah MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 80.0) 8-12 330 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 78.4) 9- 8 403 A Albright MAC-Commonwlt ( 1-13, 68.3) 12- 4 406 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 86.2) 8-16 410 H Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 75.0) 9- 6 413 A Arcadia MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 78.3) 12-11 o 424 H Alvernia MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 62.9) 23- 6 427 H Hood MAC-Commonwlt (10- 5, 74.1) 21-13 501 A Messiah MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 80.0) 15-12 504 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 86.2) 4-23PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 A Susquehanna 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.29 223 H Gwynedd Mercy 7- 8 o -1 2 - -3.66 227 H Ithaca 3-17 -14 -7 - -2.23 302 A King's 11- 8 3 3 -0.48 309 H Ursinus 6-16 -10 -9 -0.58 313 N Keene State 7-17 -10 -5 -- -4.66 315 N UMass Boston 13- 9 4 7 - -3.25 323 H Brockport 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.50 327 A Messiah 8-12 -4 -4 0.81 330 H Widener 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.28 403 A Albright 12- 4 8 6 1.16 406 A Stevenson 8-16 -8 -11 + 2.00 410 H Lebanon Valley 9- 6 3 2 0.91 413 A Arcadia 12-11 o 1 -3 ++ 4.18 424 H Alvernia 23- 6 17 14 0.00 427 H Hood 21-13 8 3 ++ 5.00 501 A Messiah 15-12 3 -4 +++ 7.81 504 A Stevenson 4-23 -19 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 N Keene State 7-17 -10 -5 -- -4.66 223 H Gwynedd Mercy 7- 8 o -1 2 - -3.66 227 H Ithaca 3-17 -14 -7 - -2.23 315 N UMass Boston 13- 9 4 7 - -3.25 323 H Brockport 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.50OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Messiah 15-12 3 -4 +++ 7.81 413 A Arcadia 12-11 o 1 -3 ++ 4.18 427 H Hood 21-13 8 3 ++ 5.00 216 A Susquehanna 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.29 330 H Widener 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.28 406 A Stevenson 8-16 -8 -11 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.12 Local Power Rank........... 95 Local SOS Rating......... 53.20 Local SOS Rank............. 69 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 122 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 129 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 152 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7