Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Chris Scanlon           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.1207352    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Susquehanna            Landmark      (11- 8, 78.5)     8- 9   
 223 H Gwynedd Mercy          AEC           (10- 6, 74.4)     7- 8  o
 227 H Ithaca                 Liberty       ( 9- 6, 84.8)     3-17   
 302 A King's                 MAC-Freedom   ( 4-11, 71.7)    11- 8   
 309 H Ursinus                Centennial    (13- 3, 86.5)     6-16   
 313 N Keene State            LEC           (11- 5, 81.5)     7-17   
 315 N UMass Boston           LEC           ( 5-14, 68.9)    13- 9   
 323 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 6- 8, 75.6)     5- 7   
 327 A Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 80.0)     8-12   
 330 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 78.4)     9- 8   
 403 A Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 1-13, 68.3)    12- 4   
 406 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 86.2)     8-16   
 410 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 75.0)     9- 6   
 413 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 78.3)    12-11  o
 424 H Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 62.9)    23- 6   
 427 H Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt (10- 5, 74.1)    21-13   
 501 A Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 80.0)    15-12   
 504 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 86.2)     4-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Susquehanna             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.29
   223 H Gwynedd Mercy           7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.66
   227 H Ithaca                  3-17     -14    -7    -     -2.23
   302 A King's                 11- 8       3     3          -0.48
   309 H Ursinus                 6-16     -10    -9          -0.58
   313 N Keene State             7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.66
   315 N UMass Boston           13- 9       4     7    -     -3.25
   323 H Brockport               5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.50
   327 A Messiah                 8-12      -4    -4           0.81
   330 H Widener                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.28
   403 A Albright               12- 4       8     6           1.16
   406 A Stevenson               8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   410 H Lebanon Valley          9- 6       3     2           0.91
   413 A Arcadia                12-11  o    1    -3    ++     4.18
   424 H Alvernia               23- 6      17    14           0.00
   427 H Hood                   21-13       8     3    ++     5.00
   501 A Messiah                15-12       3    -4    +++    7.81
   504 A Stevenson               4-23     -19   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 N Keene State             7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.66
   223 H Gwynedd Mercy           7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.66
   227 H Ithaca                  3-17     -14    -7    -     -2.23
   315 N UMass Boston           13- 9       4     7    -     -3.25
   323 H Brockport               5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Messiah                15-12       3    -4    +++    7.81
   413 A Arcadia                12-11  o    1    -3    ++     4.18
   427 H Hood                   21-13       8     3    ++     5.00
   216 A Susquehanna             8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.29
   330 H Widener                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.28
   406 A Stevenson               8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.12 Local Power Rank...........    95
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.20 Local SOS Rank.............    69
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............   122
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   129
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   152
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/