Conf = CCIW                       Region = South        State = IL
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Mark Morrell            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.3142395    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Ohio Northern          OAC           (13- 5, 77.5)    12-10   
 223 H Hope                   MIAA          (13- 3, 76.0)    14- 9   
 227 A Aurora                 MLC           (13- 4, 75.9)     6- 7   
 312 H DePauw                 NCAC          ( 7- 8, 76.2)     4- 8   
 316 A Colorado College       Independent   ( 7- 7, 81.9)     5-20   
 323 A Whittier               Independent   (12- 3, 77.8)     8-14   
 326 N Oberlin                NCAC          ( 5-10, 71.8)    20- 6   
 331 H Alma                   MIAA          ( 7-10, 71.4)    17- 4   
 404 H Albion                 MIAA          ( 8- 9, 75.5)    24-12   
 406 H Carroll                CCIW          ( 0-15, 54.7)    27- 4   
 410 A Dubuque                CCIW          ( 6-11, 61.9)    22- 1   
 413 A Illinois Wesleyan      CCIW          (16- 1, 83.6)    20-29   
 420 A No. Central (IL)       CCIW          ( 9- 5, 71.9)    13-11   
 424 H Carthage               CCIW          (13- 5, 76.4)    17-13   
 427 H Augustana              CCIW          ( 8-10, 70.0)    12- 8   
 501 H Carthage               CCIW          (13- 5, 76.4)    21-10   
 504 A Illinois Wesleyan      CCIW          (16- 1, 83.6)    18-25   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Ohio Northern          12-10       2     0    +      2.10
   223 H Hope                   14- 9       5     3           1.76
   227 A Aurora                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.43
   312 H DePauw                  4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.12
   316 A Colorado College        5-20     -15    -4    --    -5.48
   323 A Whittier                8-14      -6     0    --    -5.51
   326 N Oberlin                20- 6      14     6    +      3.49
   331 H Alma                   17- 4      13     7    +      2.12
   404 H Albion                 24-12      12     3    +++    6.19
   406 H Carroll                27- 4      23    24           0.00
   410 A Dubuque                22- 1      21    15           0.00
   413 A Illinois Wesleyan      20-29      -9    -6    -     -2.77
   420 A No. Central (IL)       13-11       2     5    -     -3.44
   424 H Carthage               17-13       4     2           1.09
   427 H Augustana              12- 8       4     9    --    -5.23
   501 H Carthage               21-10      11     2    +++    7.09
   504 A Illinois Wesleyan      18-25      -7    -6          -0.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H DePauw                  4- 8      -4     3    ---   -7.12
   316 A Colorado College        5-20     -15    -4    --    -5.48
   323 A Whittier                8-14      -6     0    --    -5.51
   427 H Augustana              12- 8       4     9    --    -5.23
   227 A Aurora                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.43
   413 A Illinois Wesleyan      20-29      -9    -6    -     -2.77
   420 A No. Central (IL)       13-11       2     5    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Albion                 24-12      12     3    +++    6.19
   501 H Carthage               21-10      11     2    +++    7.09
   216 A Ohio Northern          12-10       2     0    +      2.10
   326 N Oberlin                20- 6      14     6    +      3.49
   331 H Alma                   17- 4      13     7    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.31 Local Power Rank...........    74
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.30 Local SOS Rank.............   105
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    80
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/