Conf = CCIW Region = South State = IL Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Mark MorrellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.3142395 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 A Ohio Northern OAC (13- 5, 77.5) 12-10 223 H Hope MIAA (13- 3, 76.0) 14- 9 227 A Aurora MLC (13- 4, 75.9) 6- 7 312 H DePauw NCAC ( 7- 8, 76.2) 4- 8 316 A Colorado College Independent ( 7- 7, 81.9) 5-20 323 A Whittier Independent (12- 3, 77.8) 8-14 326 N Oberlin NCAC ( 5-10, 71.8) 20- 6 331 H Alma MIAA ( 7-10, 71.4) 17- 4 404 H Albion MIAA ( 8- 9, 75.5) 24-12 406 H Carroll CCIW ( 0-15, 54.7) 27- 4 410 A Dubuque CCIW ( 6-11, 61.9) 22- 1 413 A Illinois Wesleyan CCIW (16- 1, 83.6) 20-29 420 A No. Central (IL) CCIW ( 9- 5, 71.9) 13-11 424 H Carthage CCIW (13- 5, 76.4) 17-13 427 H Augustana CCIW ( 8-10, 70.0) 12- 8 501 H Carthage CCIW (13- 5, 76.4) 21-10 504 A Illinois Wesleyan CCIW (16- 1, 83.6) 18-25PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 A Ohio Northern 12-10 2 0 + 2.10 223 H Hope 14- 9 5 3 1.76 227 A Aurora 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.43 312 H DePauw 4- 8 -4 3 --- -7.12 316 A Colorado College 5-20 -15 -4 -- -5.48 323 A Whittier 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.51 326 N Oberlin 20- 6 14 6 + 3.49 331 H Alma 17- 4 13 7 + 2.12 404 H Albion 24-12 12 3 +++ 6.19 406 H Carroll 27- 4 23 24 0.00 410 A Dubuque 22- 1 21 15 0.00 413 A Illinois Wesleyan 20-29 -9 -6 - -2.77 420 A No. Central (IL) 13-11 2 5 - -3.44 424 H Carthage 17-13 4 2 1.09 427 H Augustana 12- 8 4 9 -- -5.23 501 H Carthage 21-10 11 2 +++ 7.09 504 A Illinois Wesleyan 18-25 -7 -6 -0.77UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H DePauw 4- 8 -4 3 --- -7.12 316 A Colorado College 5-20 -15 -4 -- -5.48 323 A Whittier 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.51 427 H Augustana 12- 8 4 9 -- -5.23 227 A Aurora 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.43 413 A Illinois Wesleyan 20-29 -9 -6 - -2.77 420 A No. Central (IL) 13-11 2 5 - -3.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Albion 24-12 12 3 +++ 6.19 501 H Carthage 21-10 11 2 +++ 7.09 216 A Ohio Northern 12-10 2 0 + 2.10 326 N Oberlin 20- 6 14 6 + 3.49 331 H Alma 17- 4 13 7 + 2.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.31 Local Power Rank........... 74 Local SOS Rating......... 48.30 Local SOS Rank............. 105 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 32 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 80 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 80 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7