Concordia-Ann Arbor           5 - 8


 
   Conf = WHAC                                             State = MI
   Nickname = Cardinals              Coach  = Ty McGuire              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.4910889    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 A Tennessee Wesleyan     AAC           ( 4-11, 62.5)    11- 5   
 309 H Eastern Mich.          Midwest       ( 6- 4, 86.0)    18- 8   
 312 H Missouri Baptist       Independent   ( 5- 8, 62.4)     6- 5   
 316 A St. Ambrose            KCAC          ( 5- 9, 62.7)     7-11   
 317 A Clarke                 KCAC          ( 2- 8, 57.0)    13- 9   
 323 A Indiana Tech           WHAC          (15- 2, 72.8)     9-17   
 327 A Madonna                WHAC          (11- 4, 71.3)     4-21   
 330 H Lawrence Tech          WHAC          (10- 5, 70.1)     7-18   
 403 H Siena Heights          WHAC          ( 6- 7, 67.1)    12-13   
 406 A Lourdes                WHAC          ( 6- 7, 67.7)     6-10   
 413 H Michigan-Dearborn      WHAC          ( 1-10, 61.2)    15-10   
 417 H Aquinas                WHAC          ( 9- 4, 71.2)     8-24   
 420 A Taylor                 WHAC          ( 3- 6, 60.9)    17-22   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Tennessee Wesleyan     11- 5       6    -1    +++    7.51
   309 H Eastern Mich.          18- 8      10   -23          n/a  
   312 H Missouri Baptist        6- 5       1     0           1.48
   316 A St. Ambrose             7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.37
   317 A Clarke                 13- 9       4     4          -0.03
   323 A Indiana Tech            9-17      -8   -11    +      2.00
   327 A Madonna                 4-21     -17   -10           0.00
   330 H Lawrence Tech           7-18     -11    -8          -1.80
   403 H Siena Heights          12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.13
   406 A Lourdes                 6-10      -4    -6    +      2.66
   413 H Michigan-Dearborn      15-10       5     0    ++     4.25
   417 H Aquinas                 8-24     -16    -9          -0.71
   420 A Taylor                 17-22      -5     0    --    -5.10


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Eastern Mich.          18- 8   
   309 H Eastern Mich.          18- 8   
   420 A Taylor                 17-22      -5     0    --    -5.10
   309 H Eastern Mich.          18- 8   
   316 A St. Ambrose             7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.37


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Tennessee Wesleyan     11- 5       6    -1    +++    7.51
   309 H Eastern Mich.          18- 8   
   309 H Eastern Mich.          18- 8   
   403 H Siena Heights          12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.13
   413 H Michigan-Dearborn      15-10       5     0    ++     4.25
   309 H Eastern Mich.          18- 8   
   323 A Indiana Tech            9-17      -8   -11    +      2.00
   406 A Lourdes                 6-10      -4    -6    +      2.66




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.49 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 35.19 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3


  
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