Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = MA
   Nickname = Terriers               Coach  = Ryan Polley             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.8890305    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 203 A Providence             Big East      ( 8- 9, 91.6)     8- 7   
 209 A Ohio State             Big Ten       ( 8- 4, 94.0)    10-17   
 216 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 2-11, 84.9)    15- 8   
 219 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 9- 6, 90.8)    16-11   
 226 H Bryant                 Northeast     ( 3-11, 86.6)    14- 9   
 302 H Vermont                America East  ( 8- 7, 90.3)    12- 4   
 309 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 4- 9, 89.1)     7- 9   
 316 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 9, 90.7)    13- 9   
 319 H Harvard                Ivy           ( 5- 8, 89.6)    11-12   
 323 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 4-11, 84.0)    17- 9   
 330 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 9- 8, 91.6)     8-10   
 406 A Army                   Patriot       (13- 4, 93.6)    15-13   
 413 H Loyola                 Patriot       (11- 4, 96.5)    18-11   
 420 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 7- 7, 91.1)    15-11   
 426 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 6- 7, 90.1)    12-13   
 430 N Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 9, 90.7)    14- 8   
 503 N Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 9- 8, 91.6)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   203 A Providence              8- 7       1     0           0.34
   209 A Ohio State             10-17      -7    -1    --    -5.23
   216 H Dartmouth              15- 8       7     8          -1.62
   219 A Sacred Heart           16-11       5     1    +      3.54
   226 H Bryant                 14- 9       5     6          -1.90
   302 H Vermont                12- 4       8     3    ++     4.80
   309 A Colgate                 7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.21
   316 H Bucknell               13- 9       4     2           1.15
   319 H Harvard                11-12      -1     3    --    -4.93
   323 H Lafayette              17- 9       8     9          -1.50
   330 A Lehigh                  8-10      -2     0    -     -2.67
   406 A Army                   15-13       2    -1    +      3.32
   413 H Loyola                 18-11       7    -3    +++   10.02
   420 H Holy Cross             15-11       4     2           1.57
   426 A Navy                   12-13      -1     2    -     -3.18
   430 N Bucknell               14- 8       6     2    +      3.76
   503 N Lehigh                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Ohio State             10-17      -7    -1    --    -5.23
   309 A Colgate                 7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.21
   319 H Harvard                11-12      -1     3    --    -4.93
   330 A Lehigh                  8-10      -2     0    -     -2.67
   426 A Navy                   12-13      -1     2    -     -3.18
   503 N Lehigh                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Loyola                 18-11       7    -3    +++   10.02
   302 H Vermont                12- 4       8     3    ++     4.80
   219 A Sacred Heart           16-11       5     1    +      3.54
   406 A Army                   15-13       2    -1    +      3.32
   430 N Bucknell               14- 8       6     2    +      3.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.89 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.85 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/