2018 NCAA Men's Division I UPSETS ARC
Upsets are listed in order of magnitude based on score and power rating. An upset occurs when a team of lower power rating beats a team of higher power rating. Home advantage is not included. An upset requires the Power Ratings of the two teams to be at least two points apart.
Upsets may disappear as the season progresses because as power ratings are adjusted, the difference in ratings between two teams may fall below two points. No Underdog (UT) Favorite (FT) Score UT FT PR PR 1 UMBC vs Albany 11 7 91.9 99.4 2 Villanova Yale 10 9 94.2 99.9 3 Penn vs Duke 10 9 94.0 99.3 4 Lafayette at Monmouth 11 10 85.9 91.1 5 Holy Cross at Colgate 12 10 89.1 94.3 6 Binghamton vs Delaware 8 7 87.6 92.2 7 Drexel vs Georgetown 15 10 91.8 96.4 8 Colgate vs Cornell 14 11 94.3 98.7 9 Princeton vs Cornell 14 8 94.5 98.7 10 Siena at Hobart 12 11 88.2 92.4 11 Bucknell at Yale 9 8 95.8 99.9 12 Furman vs Richmond 10 9 88.7 92.5 13 Marquette vs Georgetown 9 8 92.7 96.4 14 Stony Brook vs Vermont 8 7 90.8 94.5 15 Syracuse at Duke 15 14 95.6 99.3 16 Virginia vs Loyola 13 12 94.8 98.5 17 North Carolina at Johns Hopkins 13 11 93.8 97.4 18 Holy Cross at Harvard 10 9 89.1 92.7 19 Bellarmine Marquette 7 6 89.3 92.7 20 Richmond vs Bucknell 9 8 92.5 95.8 21 Mercer at Delaware 10 8 89.0 92.2 22 Boston U. at Bucknell 12 11 92.6 95.8 23 North Carolina vs Notre Dame 10 9 93.8 96.7 24 Saint Joseph's at Robert Morris 8 7 93.6 96.5 25 Siena vs UMass Lowell 14 13 88.2 90.9 26 Bucknell at Loyola 12 11 95.8 98.5 27 Ohio State at Maryland 12 10 95.0 97.6 28 Binghamton at Hartford 14 10 87.6 90.3 29 Notre Dame Duke 14 11 96.7 99.3 30 Fairfield at Hofstra 5 4 91.2 93.8 31 Army vs Rutgers 9 7 93.8 96.4 32 Manhattan Bellarmine 10 9 86.8 89.3 33 Villanova at Penn State 17 16 94.2 96.7 34 Bryant at Robert Morris 9 7 94.1 96.5 35 Michigan at Notre Dame 13 12 94.3 96.7 36 Michigan at Penn State 10 9 94.3 96.7 37 Quinnipiac vs Brown 12 11 91.0 93.4 38 Fairfield at Saint Joseph's 11 6 91.2 93.6 39 Marquette Ohio State 8 7 92.7 95.0 40 Dartmouth vs Canisius 13 12 87.8 90.0 41 Drexel at Bryant 12 9 91.8 94.1 42 Air Force at Detroit Mercy 9 7 89.4 91.6 43 Cleveland Stat vs Sacred Heart 15 9 89.0 91.1 44 Harvard at UMass 16 11 92.7 94.7