2018 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Yale Ivy 17 3 1 6 1 1 2 1 4 32.00 2 Albany America East 16 3 2 20 3 3 1 4 8 15.00 3 Maryland Big Ten 14 4 7 1 2 2 3 3 8 4.00 4 Duke ACC 16 4 3 11 4 4 7 2 13 6.00 5 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 12 5 8 4 5 5 6 7 18 4.00 6 Loyola Patriot 13 4 5 14 7 6 9 5 20 10.00 7 Notre Dame ACC 9 6 9 5 11 7 5 9 21 0.10 8 Cornell Ivy 13 5 4 13 8 9 8 8 25 13.00 9 Denver Big East 13 4 6 15 6 8 12 6 26 3.00 10 Virginia ACC 12 6 17 21 9 10 11 10 31 0.10 11 Syracuse ACC 8 7 15 3 15 12 10 12 34 2.00 12 Penn Ivy 7 8 26 2 28 11 4 28 43 0.10 13 Villanova Big East 10 6 24 7 13 13 13 17 43 0.10 14 Georgetown Big East 12 5 12 26 10 16 17 11 44 1.00 15 Rutgers Big Ten 9 6 13 8 21 14 16 24 54 0.10 16 Bucknell Patriot 11 4 14 36 14 15 31 14 60 0.10 17 North Carolina ACC 7 7 31 16 26 24 14 22 60 0.10 18 Penn State Big Ten 8 6 10 17 25 22 20 20 62 1.00 19 Michigan Big Ten 8 6 22 19 18 23 25 18 66 1.00 20 Robert Morris Northeast 13 5 11 44 17 17 26 23 66 1.00 21 Navy Patriot 9 5 28 24 19 18 30 19 67 0.10 22 Ohio State Big Ten 8 7 16 10 24 19 22 26 67 1.00 23 Princeton Ivy 8 5 21 33 20 25 27 15 67 1.00 24 Richmond SoCon 11 6 38 46 22 27 23 21 71 0.10 25 UMass Colonial 12 5 18 28 16 20 35 16 71 0.10 26 Marquette Big East 6 8 35 9 31 26 15 31 72 0.10 27 Towson Colonial 7 8 27 12 30 28 19 30 77 1.00 28 Vermont America East 12 4 19 54 12 21 46 13 80 0.10 29 Lehigh Patriot 10 7 20 27 27 29 24 29 82 1.00 30 Boston U. Patriot 8 9 37 25 33 32 18 35 85 0.10 31 Harvard Ivy 7 6 36 23 29 30 29 27 86 0.10 32 Brown Ivy 6 9 33 18 43 33 21 39 93 0.10 33 Army Patriot 5 8 29 29 35 39 28 34 101 1.00 34 Bryant Northeast 8 7 25 42 32 34 38 32 104 1.00 35 High Point SoCon 6 8 43 43 40 38 32 36 106 0.10 36 Jacksonville SoCon 8 7 34 53 38 36 39 37 112 0.10 37 Drexel Colonial 5 8 45 22 44 37 34 43 114 0.10 38 Saint Joseph's Northeast 11 4 32 55 23 31 61 25 117 0.10 39 Stony Brook America East 7 8 53 34 42 35 37 46 118 0.10 40 Colgate Patriot 7 8 23 40 34 40 41 40 121 1.00 41 UMBC America East 5 8 44 41 46 42 36 47 125 0.10 42 UMass Lowell America East 8 8 52 58 41 44 43 42 129 0.10 43 St. John's Big East 6 8 40 39 45 43 42 45 130 0.10 44 Hofstra Colonial 6 8 30 37 50 41 54 48 143 0.10 45 Fairfield Colonial 4 11 47 31 60 50 33 61 144 0.10 46 Holy Cross Patriot 4 9 58 30 53 47 45 53 145 0.10 47 Detroit Mercy Metro Atlantic 9 7 46 64 39 46 63 41 150 0.10 48 Hobart Northeast 4 10 41 38 52 54 40 56 150 0.10 49 Air Force SoCon 5 10 56 51 55 55 44 52 151 0.10 50 Providence Big East 5 10 39 35 61 45 49 57 151 0.10 51 Sacred Heart Northeast 7 8 49 57 49 48 53 50 151 0.10 52 Canisius Metro Atlantic 8 9 55 60 48 49 55 49 153 0.10 53 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 5 9 50 50 56 51 51 54 156 0.10 54 Delaware Colonial 6 8 42 49 47 53 60 44 157 0.10 55 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 9 6 51 67 37 52 67 38 157 0.10 56 Cleveland State Independent 4 10 60 56 51 60 47 55 162 0.10 57 Dartmouth Ivy 2 11 64 32 64 59 52 59 170 0.10 58 Furman SoCon 4 10 62 52 58 57 50 64 171 0.10 59 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 7 8 48 66 54 58 64 51 173 0.10 60 Hartford America East 3 10 54 45 62 56 56 62 174 0.10 61 Hampton Independent 5 8 71 71 36 71 71 33 175 0.10 62 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 12 59 48 68 61 48 67 176 0.10 63 Binghamton America East 4 11 65 47 59 62 57 60 179 0.10 64 Bellarmine SoCon 4 9 57 63 57 64 65 58 187 0.10 65 Mercer SoCon 4 10 61 61 65 63 62 68 193 0.10 66 Lafayette Patriot 3 12 68 59 69 66 58 70 194 0.10 67 Siena Metro Atlantic 3 9 63 62 63 65 66 63 194 0.10 68 NJIT Independent 1 15 69 65 71 69 59 71 199 0.10 69 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 10 66 68 67 67 68 65 200 0.10 70 Wagner Northeast 4 10 67 69 66 68 69 66 203 0.10 71 VMI SoCon 2 11 70 70 70 70 70 69 209 0.10