Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = MA Nickname = Ephmen Coach = George McCormackGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.0723572 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Wesleyan NESCAC (19- 3, 91.2) 8- 9 306 A Union Liberty ( 9- 6, 86.5) 8- 9 o 310 A Trinity NESCAC ( 4-10, 84.3) 10- 9 317 H Connecticut College NESCAC (10- 6, 86.4) 11- 9 320 A Stevens Empire 8 (18- 3, 89.1) 10-15 324 A Bates NESCAC ( 8- 8, 87.6) 17- 8 328 N MIT NEWMAC ( 8- 8, 80.8) 12- 7 330 A Colorado College Independent (13- 2, 86.3) 14-18 404 H Tufts NESCAC (18- 2, 93.1) 8-11 407 A Amherst NESCAC (15- 4, 94.3) 9-19 410 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 2-13, 80.0) 9- 5 414 H Colby NESCAC ( 5- 7, 82.4) 16-12 417 A Western New England CCC (13- 7, 83.6) 11- 8 421 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 7, 88.0) 11- 8 425 A Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 7, 86.9) 13-20 428 H Connecticut College NESCAC (10- 6, 86.4) 10- 4 505 A Wesleyan NESCAC (19- 3, 91.2) 5-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Wesleyan 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.07 306 A Union 8- 9 o -1 0 -0.49 310 A Trinity 10- 9 1 1 -0.73 317 H Connecticut College 11- 9 2 1 0.23 320 A Stevens 10-15 -5 -3 -1.96 324 A Bates 17- 8 9 -1 +++ 10.55 328 N MIT 12- 7 5 6 -1.24 330 A Colorado College 14-18 -4 0 - -3.68 404 H Tufts 8-11 -3 -4 1.97 407 A Amherst 9-19 -10 -8 -1.70 410 H Hamilton 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.11 414 H Colby 16-12 4 5 -1.78 417 A Western New England 11- 8 3 2 0.54 421 A Bowdoin 11- 8 3 -2 ++ 5.03 425 A Middlebury 13-20 -7 0 --- -6.14 428 H Connecticut College 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.23 505 A Wesleyan 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.80UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Middlebury 13-20 -7 0 --- -6.14 410 H Hamilton 9- 5 4 8 -- -4.11 330 A Colorado College 14-18 -4 0 - -3.68 505 A Wesleyan 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.80OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Bates 17- 8 9 -1 +++ 10.55 421 A Bowdoin 11- 8 3 -2 ++ 5.03 428 H Connecticut College 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.23 303 H Wesleyan 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.07/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.07 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 70.74 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 30 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 239 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 57 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0