Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Paul Cantabene          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1756744    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Denison                North Coast   (16- 4, 89.3)    10-11   
 303 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (19- 3, 89.4)     6- 7  o
 310 A Salisbury              Capital       (20- 4, 91.1)     7- 9   
 316 H Dickinson              Centennial    (17- 4, 90.5)     9-11   
 317 H York                   Capital       (19- 3, 92.3)     7-20   
 323 H Cabrini                CSAC          (17- 3, 89.0)    14-10   
 327 H Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 2-14, 65.0)    32- 7   
 331 A Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 76.4)    14- 3   
 403 H Stevens                Empire 8      (18- 3, 89.1)    13-12 2o
 406 A Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (12- 9, 90.0)     6-13   
 410 A Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt (10- 7, 79.4)    21- 9   
 414 H Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt (10- 6, 82.4)    22- 7   
 418 A Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 77.1)     9- 7   
 421 H Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 6- 9, 76.9)    21-10   
 424 A Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt ( 8- 7, 72.2)    33- 7   
 427 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 81.8)    11-10   
 502 H Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt (10- 7, 79.4)    22- 7   
 505 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 81.8)    12- 6   
 509 A Ithaca                 Liberty       (16- 4, 87.7)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Denison                10-11      -1     0          -0.94
   303 H Gettysburg              6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.87
   310 A Salisbury               7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.02
   316 H Dickinson               9-11      -2    -1          -0.72
   317 H York                    7-20     -13    -3    ---   -6.92
   323 H Cabrini                14-10       4     0    +      3.72
   327 H Alvernia               32- 7      25    24           0.00
   331 A Albright               14- 3      11    10           0.00
   403 H Stevens                13-12 2o    1     0           0.81
   406 A Lynchburg               6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.07
   410 A Lycoming               21- 9      12     7    +      2.27
   414 H Messiah                22- 7      15     6    +      3.17
   418 A Lebanon Valley          9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   421 H Arcadia                21-10      11    12           0.00
   424 A Hood                   33- 7      26    14           0.00
   427 H Widener                11-10       1     7    ---   -6.48
   502 H Lycoming               22- 7      15     9           0.14
   505 H Widener                12- 6       6     7          -1.48
   509 A Ithaca                 12-15      -3     0    -     -2.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H York                    7-20     -13    -3    ---   -6.92
   418 A Lebanon Valley          9- 7       2    10    ---   -8.00
   427 H Widener                11-10       1     7    ---   -6.48
   406 A Lynchburg               6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.07
   509 A Ithaca                 12-15      -3     0    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Salisbury               7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.02
   323 H Cabrini                14-10       4     0    +      3.72
   410 A Lycoming               21- 9      12     7    +      2.27
   414 H Messiah                22- 7      15     6    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.18 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.03 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   203
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   15.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/