Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Andrew McMinn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.4797821    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 203 A Rutgers                Big Ten       ( 9- 6, 96.4)     7-11   
 209 A Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 4- 9, 89.3)    15- 7   
 217 H Georgetown             Big East      (12- 5, 96.4)    11-12   
 224 A Penn State             Big Ten       ( 8- 6, 96.7)    12- 9   
 303 H High Point             SoCon         ( 6- 8, 92.0)    16-11   
 310 A Marquette              Big East      ( 6- 8, 92.7)    12- 2   
 317 H Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 7- 8, 91.1)    12- 8   
 324 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 5- 9, 91.1)    15- 5   
 330 H Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8- 7, 94.1)     7- 9   
 407 A Hobart                 Northeast     ( 4-10, 92.4)    10- 9  o
 410 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 90.0)    11- 9   
 414 H Cleveland State        Independent   ( 4-10, 89.0)    14- 5   
 421 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 4-10, 86.0)    15- 5   
 428 H Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (11- 4, 93.6)     7- 8   
 503 N Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8- 7, 94.1)    12- 5   
 505 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (11- 4, 93.6)     9- 8  o
 509 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 90.0)    12- 6   
 513 A Maryland               Big Ten       (14- 4, 97.6)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   203 A Rutgers                 7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.99
   209 A Bellarmine             15- 7       8     6           1.99
   217 H Georgetown             11-12      -1     1    -     -2.19
   224 A Penn State             12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.32
   303 H High Point             16-11       5     5          -0.62
   310 A Marquette              12- 2      10     2    +++    7.34
   317 H Sacred Heart           12- 8       4     6    -     -2.50
   324 A Mount St. Mary's       15- 5      10     4    ++     5.76
   330 H Bryant                  7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.55
   407 A Hobart                 10- 9  o    1     2          -1.99
   410 A Canisius               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.32
   414 H Cleveland State        14- 5       9     8           0.37
   421 A Wagner                 15- 5      10     9           0.66
   428 H Saint Joseph's          7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.05
   503 N Bryant                 12- 5       7     2    ++     4.58
   505 A Saint Joseph's          9- 8  o    1     1          -0.78
   509 A Canisius               12- 6       6     5           0.68
   513 A Maryland               11-14      -3    -2          -0.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Bryant                  7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.55
   428 H Saint Joseph's          7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.05
   203 A Rutgers                 7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.99
   217 H Georgetown             11-12      -1     1    -     -2.19
   317 H Sacred Heart           12- 8       4     6    -     -2.50
   410 A Canisius               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Marquette              12- 2      10     2    +++    7.34
   224 A Penn State             12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.32
   324 A Mount St. Mary's       15- 5      10     4    ++     5.76
   503 N Bryant                 12- 5       7     2    ++     4.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.48 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.57 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
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