Conf = Northeast Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Andrew McMinnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.4797821 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 203 A Rutgers Big Ten ( 9- 6, 96.4) 7-11 209 A Bellarmine SoCon ( 4- 9, 89.3) 15- 7 217 H Georgetown Big East (12- 5, 96.4) 11-12 224 A Penn State Big Ten ( 8- 6, 96.7) 12- 9 303 H High Point SoCon ( 6- 8, 92.0) 16-11 310 A Marquette Big East ( 6- 8, 92.7) 12- 2 317 H Sacred Heart Northeast ( 7- 8, 91.1) 12- 8 324 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 5- 9, 91.1) 15- 5 330 H Bryant Northeast ( 8- 7, 94.1) 7- 9 407 A Hobart Northeast ( 4-10, 92.4) 10- 9 o 410 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 90.0) 11- 9 414 H Cleveland State Independent ( 4-10, 89.0) 14- 5 421 A Wagner Northeast ( 4-10, 86.0) 15- 5 428 H Saint Joseph's Northeast (11- 4, 93.6) 7- 8 503 N Bryant Northeast ( 8- 7, 94.1) 12- 5 505 A Saint Joseph's Northeast (11- 4, 93.6) 9- 8 o 509 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 90.0) 12- 6 513 A Maryland Big Ten (14- 4, 97.6) 11-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 A Rutgers 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.99 209 A Bellarmine 15- 7 8 6 1.99 217 H Georgetown 11-12 -1 1 - -2.19 224 A Penn State 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.32 303 H High Point 16-11 5 5 -0.62 310 A Marquette 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.34 317 H Sacred Heart 12- 8 4 6 - -2.50 324 A Mount St. Mary's 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.76 330 H Bryant 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.55 407 A Hobart 10- 9 o 1 2 -1.99 410 A Canisius 11- 9 2 5 - -3.32 414 H Cleveland State 14- 5 9 8 0.37 421 A Wagner 15- 5 10 9 0.66 428 H Saint Joseph's 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.05 503 N Bryant 12- 5 7 2 ++ 4.58 505 A Saint Joseph's 9- 8 o 1 1 -0.78 509 A Canisius 12- 6 6 5 0.68 513 A Maryland 11-14 -3 -2 -0.72UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Bryant 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.55 428 H Saint Joseph's 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.05 203 A Rutgers 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.99 217 H Georgetown 11-12 -1 1 - -2.19 317 H Sacred Heart 12- 8 4 6 - -2.50 410 A Canisius 11- 9 2 5 - -3.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Marquette 12- 2 10 2 +++ 7.34 224 A Penn State 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.32 324 A Mount St. Mary's 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.76 503 N Bryant 12- 5 7 2 ++ 4.58/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.48 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 82.57 Local SOS Rank............. 44 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 17 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3