Conf = East Coast Region = North State = NY Nickname = Bears Coach = Bill DunnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6983032 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Mercyhurst Great Midwest (10- 5, 84.5) 16- 9 218 H Merrimack Northeast 10 (18- 1, 91.9) 14-16 223 A Tampa Sunshine Stat (15- 5, 87.1) 9-10 225 A Saint Leo Sunshine Stat (16- 3, 85.5) 10-18 303 A Bentley Northeast 10 ( 5- 8, 82.4) 10- 9 o 310 A Seton Hill Great Midwest (17- 2, 88.6) 7-13 314 H Pace Northeast 10 ( 7- 7, 85.2) 11- 9 317 H Roberts Wesleyan East Coast ( 6- 9, 78.5) 16-13 329 A Chestnut Hill CACC ( 7-10, 76.6) 10- 6 404 A St. Thomas Aquinas East Coast ( 5-10, 76.0) 15- 6 411 H Wheeling Jesuit Great Midwest ( 6- 9, 79.3) 18- 5 414 A Mercy East Coast (10- 5, 83.5) 9- 7 421 H LIU Post East Coast (10- 5, 84.6) 11- 7 425 H Molloy East Coast ( 9- 7, 79.6) 13- 9 428 A U. of DC East Coast ( 8- 7, 77.3) 12- 5 502 H Molloy East Coast ( 9- 7, 79.6) 12- 6 505 H LIU Post East Coast (10- 5, 84.6) 11-10 o 512 A Merrimack Northeast 10 (18- 1, 91.9) 6-24PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Mercyhurst 16- 9 7 1 ++ 5.65 218 H Merrimack 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.07 223 A Tampa 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.58 225 A Saint Leo 10-18 -8 -1 --- -6.09 303 A Bentley 10- 9 o 1 1 -0.15 310 A Seton Hill 7-13 -6 -4 -1.01 314 H Pace 11- 9 2 0 1.41 317 H Roberts Wesleyan 16-13 3 7 -- -4.32 329 A Chestnut Hill 10- 6 4 7 - -3.00 404 A St. Thomas Aquinas 15- 6 9 7 1.39 411 H Wheeling Jesuit 18- 5 13 6 + 3.51 414 A Mercy 9- 7 2 0 1.93 421 H LIU Post 11- 7 4 1 + 2.76 425 H Molloy 13- 9 4 6 - -2.27 428 A U. of DC 12- 5 7 6 0.74 502 H Molloy 12- 6 6 6 -0.27 505 H LIU Post 11-10 o 1 1 -0.24 512 A Merrimack 6-24 -18 -8 -1.67UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Saint Leo 10-18 -8 -1 --- -6.09 317 H Roberts Wesleyan 16-13 3 7 -- -4.32 329 A Chestnut Hill 10- 6 4 7 - -3.00 425 H Molloy 13- 9 4 6 - -2.27OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Mercyhurst 16- 9 7 1 ++ 5.65 218 H Merrimack 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.07 223 A Tampa 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.58 411 H Wheeling Jesuit 18- 5 13 6 + 3.51 421 H LIU Post 11- 7 4 1 + 2.76/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.70 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 63.42 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 49 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7