Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Trojans                Coach  = Mike Murphy             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0758438    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Mars Hill              South Atlanti ( 2-12, 73.7)    15- 4   
 217 H Catawba                South Atlanti ( 6- 9, 78.9)    15- 3   
 221 A Coker                  South Atlanti ( 7- 8, 76.4)     6- 3   
 224 H Queens U. of Charlotte South Atlanti ( 9- 7, 81.8)     5- 6   
 303 H Saint Leo              Sunshine Stat (16- 3, 85.5)    12- 9   
 306 H Walsh                  Great Midwest ( 2-11, 72.8)    13- 4   
 310 H Mercyhurst             Great Midwest (10- 5, 84.5)     6- 8   
 314 H Indianapolis           GLVC          (10- 5, 82.4)     8- 6   
 315 A Chowan                 Carolinas     ( 8- 8, 73.8)    11- 8   
 317 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 2- 7, 70.1)    20- 3   
 324 A Florida Tech           Sunshine Stat ( 9- 6, 81.9)    10-11   
 331 A Limestone              Carolinas     (11- 8, 85.1)     9-16   
 407 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (14- 4, 85.1)    13- 8   
 414 A North Greenville       Carolinas     ( 8- 9, 78.7)     8- 5   
 421 H Emmanuel (GA)          Carolinas     ( 0-15, 63.8)    20- 3   
 427 N Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (14- 4, 85.1)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Mars Hill              15- 4      11     8           1.72
   217 H Catawba                15- 3      12     5    ++     4.71
   221 A Coker                   6- 3       3     5    -     -2.53
   224 H Queens U. of Charlotte  5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.44
   303 H Saint Leo              12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.27
   306 H Walsh                  13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   310 H Mercyhurst              6- 8      -2     0          -1.72
   314 H Indianapolis            8- 6       2     1           0.22
   315 A Chowan                 11- 8       3     8    --    -5.10
   317 H Lees-McRae             20- 3      17    14           0.00
   324 A Florida Tech           10-11      -1     0          -1.07
   331 A Limestone               9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.85
   407 H Belmont Abbey          13- 8       5     0    ++     5.91
   414 A North Greenville        8- 5       3     3          -0.22
   421 H Emmanuel (GA)          20- 3      17    20           0.00
   427 N Belmont Abbey           6- 7      -1    -2           1.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Chowan                 11- 8       3     8    --    -5.10
   221 A Coker                   6- 3       3     5    -     -2.53
   224 H Queens U. of Charlotte  5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.44
   331 A Limestone               9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Catawba                15- 3      12     5    ++     4.71
   303 H Saint Leo              12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.27
   407 H Belmont Abbey          13- 8       5     0    ++     5.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.08 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.63 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/