Mount St. Mary's              5 - 9


 
   Conf = Northeast                  Region = Southeast    State = MD
   Nickname = Mountaineers           Coach  = Tom Gravante            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   91.1098175    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 6- 8, 92.2)    12-16   
 217 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 7- 8, 93.9)    13-15   
 220 A Richmond               SoCon         (11- 6, 92.5)    10-13   
 223 H UMBC                   America East  ( 5- 8, 91.9)    16- 7   
 227 A Georgetown             Big East      (12- 5, 96.4)     6-16   
 303 H VMI                    SoCon         ( 2-11, 85.0)    16- 8   
 310 H Mercer                 SoCon         ( 4-10, 89.0)    12- 9   
 317 A Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8- 7, 94.1)    11-20   
 324 H Robert Morris          Northeast     (13- 5, 96.5)     5-15   
 331 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 7- 8, 91.1)     9-10   
 407 A Bucknell               Patriot       (11- 4, 95.8)     9-14   
 414 H Hobart                 Northeast     ( 4-10, 92.4)    15-14   
 421 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (11- 4, 93.6)     7-14   
 428 H Wagner                 Northeast     ( 4-10, 86.0)    16- 3   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Delaware               12-16      -4    -2          -1.77
   217 A Towson                 13-15      -2    -3           1.89
   220 A Richmond               10-13      -3    -2          -0.48
   223 H UMBC                   16- 7       9     0    +++    8.65
   227 A Georgetown              6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.56
   303 H VMI                    16- 8       8     7           0.79
   310 H Mercer                 12- 9       3     3          -0.27
   317 A Bryant                 11-20      -9    -4    --    -4.91
   324 H Robert Morris           5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.76
   331 A Sacred Heart            9-10      -1    -1           0.13
   407 A Bucknell                9-14      -5    -5           0.81
   414 H Hobart                 15-14       1     0           1.12
   421 A Saint Joseph's          7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.41
   428 H Wagner                 16- 3      13     6    +      3.76


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Bryant                 11-20      -9    -4    --    -4.91
   324 H Robert Morris           5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.76
   227 A Georgetown              6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.56
   421 A Saint Joseph's          7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.41


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H UMBC                   16- 7       9     0    +++    8.65
   428 H Wagner                 16- 3      13     6    +      3.76




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.11 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.75 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3


  
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