Conf = NEAC                       Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Jason Longo             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.8605042    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 A St. John Fisher        Empire 8      (12- 6, 81.1)    10-12   
 228 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 7- 7, 81.0)     3-16   
 303 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 77.4)     5-10   
 310 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        (10- 5, 80.9)     6- 9   
 314 A Scranton               Landmark      (10- 7, 81.8)     7-15   
 317 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (12- 7, 86.4)     9-19   
 322 A King's                 MAC-Freedom   ( 6- 9, 75.9)    11-10   
 324 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4-11, 76.1)     5- 9   
 328 H Hilbert                NEAC          ( 9- 6, 70.9)     9- 5   
 404 A Bryn Athyn             NEAC          ( 9- 7, 74.3)    11- 9   
 407 H Wells                  NEAC          ( 4- 9, 61.4)    26- 7   
 411 H Keuka                  NEAC          ( 9- 6, 69.9)    15- 6   
 414 A Medaille               NEAC          ( 1-11, 52.9)    19- 3   
 418 A Cazenovia              NEAC          ( 4- 9, 66.9)    19- 5   
 421 H Cobleskill             NEAC          ( 4- 9, 63.4)    20- 1   
 425 A SUNY Poly              NEAC          ( 9- 5, 69.7)    15- 8   
 502 H Keuka                  NEAC          ( 9- 6, 69.9)    17- 5   
 505 H Bryn Athyn             NEAC          ( 9- 7, 74.3)    11-10   
 508 N Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (12- 7, 82.7)     8- 7  o
 509 A Salisbury              Capital       (20- 4, 91.1)     5-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A St. John Fisher        10-12      -2    -5    +      3.26
   228 A Geneseo                 3-16     -13    -5    --    -4.79
   303 A Oneonta                 5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.43
   310 H Oswego                  6- 9      -3    -2          -0.02
   314 A Scranton                7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.02
   317 A Cortland                9-19     -10   -10           0.00
   322 A King's                 11-10       1     0           1.08
   324 H Potsdam                 5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.85
   328 H Hilbert                 9- 5       4     7    -     -3.01
   404 A Bryn Athyn             11- 9       2     1           0.49
   407 H Wells                  26- 7      19    16           0.00
   411 H Keuka                  15- 6       9     7           1.02
   414 A Medaille               19- 3      16    22           0.00
   418 A Cazenovia              19- 5      14     8           1.08
   421 H Cobleskill             20- 1      19    14           0.00
   425 A SUNY Poly              15- 8       7     6           0.86
   502 H Keuka                  17- 5      12     7    +      2.02
   505 H Bryn Athyn             11-10       1     3    -     -2.64
   508 N Eastern                 8- 7  o    1    -5    +++    6.89
   509 A Salisbury               5-19     -14   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Geneseo                 3-16     -13    -5    --    -4.79
   324 H Potsdam                 5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.85
   303 A Oneonta                 5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.43
   314 A Scranton                7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.02
   328 H Hilbert                 9- 5       4     7    -     -3.01
   505 H Bryn Athyn             11-10       1     3    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 N Eastern                 8- 7  o    1    -5    +++    6.89
   224 A St. John Fisher        10-12      -2    -5    +      3.26
   502 H Keuka                  17- 5      12     7    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.86 Local Power Rank...........   107
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.01 Local SOS Rank.............   118
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    83
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   147
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   103
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
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