Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Mountain Hawks         Coach  = Kevin Cassese           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4730377    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 203 H NJIT                   Independent   ( 1-15, 85.0)    13- 8   
 210 A Mercer                 SoCon         ( 4-10, 89.0)    13- 8   
 217 A North Carolina         ACC           ( 7- 7, 93.8)    11-12  o
 224 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4- 9, 89.1)    15- 4   
 303 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 7- 8, 94.3)    10- 7   
 310 A Army                   Patriot       ( 5- 8, 93.8)     9- 7   
 314 H Rutgers                Big Ten       ( 9- 6, 96.4)     7- 8   
 317 A Lafayette              Patriot       ( 3-12, 85.9)    19-11   
 320 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 6- 8, 93.8)    13- 8   
 324 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 93.9)     7-10   
 331 A Boston U.              Patriot       ( 8- 9, 92.6)     7- 6   
 407 H Loyola                 Patriot       (13- 4, 98.5)    10-16   
 414 H Cornell                Ivy           (13- 5, 98.7)    10-12   
 420 A Bucknell               Patriot       (11- 4, 95.8)     7-14   
 424 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 7- 8, 94.3)    11- 6   
 427 N Navy                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 93.9)    10- 9  o
 429 A Loyola                 Patriot       (13- 4, 98.5)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   203 H NJIT                   13- 8       5    10    --    -5.00
   210 A Mercer                 13- 8       5     4           0.63
   217 A North Carolina         11-12  o   -1     0          -0.58
   224 H Holy Cross             15- 4      11     6    +      3.50
   303 H Colgate                10- 7       3     1           1.66
   310 A Army                    9- 7       2     0    +      2.49
   314 H Rutgers                 7- 8      -1     0          -0.25
   317 A Lafayette              19-11       8     7           0.58
   320 A Hofstra                13- 8       5     0    ++     5.44
   324 H Navy                    7-10      -3     1    --    -4.74
   331 A Boston U.               7- 6       1     0           0.27
   407 H Loyola                 10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.14
   414 H Cornell                10-12      -2    -3           1.09
   420 A Bucknell                7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.55
   424 H Colgate                11- 6       5     1    +      3.66
   427 N Navy                   10- 9  o    1     0           0.39
   429 A Loyola                  8-15      -7    -5          -1.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   203 H NJIT                   13- 8       5    10    --    -5.00
   324 H Navy                    7-10      -3     1    --    -4.74
   420 A Bucknell                7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.55
   407 H Loyola                 10-16      -6    -2    -     -3.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Hofstra                13- 8       5     0    ++     5.44
   224 H Holy Cross             15- 4      11     6    +      3.50
   310 A Army                    9- 7       2     0    +      2.49
   424 H Colgate                11- 6       5     1    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.47 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.48 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/