Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = MD
   Nickname = Blazers                Coach  = Brad Barber             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.1687775    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Goucher                Landmark      (10- 7, 78.1)     5-10   
 224 H Shenandoah             Old Dominion  ( 7- 9, 75.1)    10- 7   
 303 H Chatham                ORLC          ( 7- 8, 65.0)    14-10   
 307 H Washington & Jefferson ORLC          ( 7-10, 66.0)    14-11   
 310 H Saint Vincent          ORLC          (15- 4, 72.4)    15-10   
 314 A Rosemont               CSAC          ( 1-14, 61.4)    16- 3   
 317 A Keystone               CSAC          ( 0-13, 58.5)    22- 3   
 328 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 76.4)     7- 8 2o
 406 A Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 81.8)     2-18   
 411 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 77.1)     6- 8   
 414 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 6- 9, 76.9)    16-15  o
 418 A Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt (10- 6, 82.4)     6-20   
 421 H Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt (10- 7, 79.4)     5-13   
 424 H Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 88.2)     7-33   
 428 A Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 2-14, 65.0)    13- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Goucher                 5-10      -5    -6           1.95
   224 H Shenandoah             10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.84
   303 H Chatham                14-10       4     8    --    -4.19
   307 H Washington & Jefferson 14-11       3     7    --    -4.22
   310 H Saint Vincent          15-10       5     0    ++     4.16
   314 A Rosemont               16- 3      13     9           0.26
   317 A Keystone               22- 3      19    12           0.00
   328 H Albright                7- 8 2o   -1    -3    +      2.12
   406 A Widener                 2-18     -16   -10           0.00
   411 H Lebanon Valley          6- 8      -2    -3           1.84
   414 A Arcadia                16-15  o    1    -5    +++    6.84
   418 A Messiah                 6-20     -14   -11           0.00
   421 H Lycoming                5-13      -8    -6          -1.85
   424 H Stevenson               7-33     -26   -14           0.00
   428 A Alvernia               13- 9       4     6    -     -2.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Chatham                14-10       4     8    --    -4.19
   307 H Washington & Jefferson 14-11       3     7    --    -4.22
   428 A Alvernia               13- 9       4     6    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Arcadia                16-15  o    1    -5    +++    6.84
   224 H Shenandoah             10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.84
   310 H Saint Vincent          15-10       5     0    ++     4.16
   328 H Albright                7- 8 2o   -1    -3    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.17 Local Power Rank...........   155
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.52 Local SOS Rank.............   134
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............   151
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   110
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
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