Conf = Landmark Region = South State = PA Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Chris PerzinskiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.2057800 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 A DeSales MAC-Freedom ( 5-10, 77.3) 7- 4 224 H St. Mary's Capital ( 5-12, 78.5) 10- 5 303 H Shenandoah Old Dominion ( 7- 9, 75.1) 9- 5 309 A Christopher Newport Capital (15- 5, 88.1) 7- 8 311 A Lynchburg Old Dominion (12- 9, 90.0) 7-21 317 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (12- 4, 90.4) 8-21 324 A Susquehanna Landmark (12- 7, 81.2) 8- 9 328 A York Capital (19- 3, 92.3) 5-13 331 H Goucher Landmark (10- 7, 78.1) 9- 8 o 404 A Frostburg State Capital (10- 9, 83.1) 8-10 407 A Drew Landmark ( 3-12, 76.2) 7- 5 411 H Stockton Independent (12- 4, 82.0) 9-12 414 H Scranton Landmark (10- 7, 81.8) 12- 6 418 H Moravian Landmark ( 7- 7, 74.3) 9- 5 420 H Colorado College Independent (13- 2, 86.3) 6- 7 o 428 A Catholic Landmark ( 8- 8, 77.9) 13-14 502 H Goucher Landmark (10- 7, 78.1) 9- 5 505 A Susquehanna Landmark (12- 7, 81.2) 10- 9 508 N John Carroll OAC (13- 5, 82.8) 9- 6 509 A Gettysburg Centennial (19- 3, 89.4) 3-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A DeSales 7- 4 3 2 0.11 224 H St. Mary's 10- 5 5 3 1.24 303 H Shenandoah 9- 5 4 7 - -3.20 309 A Christopher Newport 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.92 311 A Lynchburg 7-21 -14 -9 -0.10 317 A Franklin & Marshall 8-21 -13 -10 0.00 324 A Susquehanna 8- 9 -1 -1 0.09 328 A York 5-13 -8 -12 + 2.00 331 H Goucher 9- 8 o 1 4 - -3.21 404 A Frostburg State 8-10 -2 -2 0.96 407 A Drew 7- 5 2 3 -1.95 411 H Stockton 9-12 -3 0 - -3.26 414 H Scranton 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.50 418 H Moravian 9- 5 4 7 - -3.98 420 H Colorado College 6- 7 o -1 -4 + 3.06 428 A Catholic 13-14 -1 2 - -3.27 502 H Goucher 9- 5 4 4 -0.21 505 A Susquehanna 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.09 508 N John Carroll 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.55 509 A Gettysburg 3-15 -12 -9 -0.77UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Shenandoah 9- 5 4 7 - -3.20 331 H Goucher 9- 8 o 1 4 - -3.21 411 H Stockton 9-12 -3 0 - -3.26 418 H Moravian 9- 5 4 7 - -3.98 428 A Catholic 13-14 -1 2 - -3.27OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Christopher Newport 7- 8 -1 -7 +++ 6.92 414 H Scranton 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.50 508 N John Carroll 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.55 328 A York 5-13 -8 -12 + 2.00 420 H Colorado College 6- 7 o -1 -4 + 3.06 505 A Susquehanna 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.09/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.21 Local Power Rank........... 61 Local SOS Rating......... 61.75 Local SOS Rank............. 42 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 57 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 75 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 109 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7