Conf = North Coast                Region = South        State = OH
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Mike Caravana           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2973862    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (15- 5, 89.1)    12-10   
 225 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 88.2)    11-10   
 304 H Roanoke                Old Dominion  (14- 6, 88.0)    11-10   
 307 H Albion                 MIAA          (10- 8, 77.3)    18- 1   
 310 H DePauw                 North Coast   ( 7-11, 75.7)    16- 2   
 316 N Amherst                NESCAC        (15- 4, 94.3)    13-19   
 317 N Dickinson              Centennial    (17- 4, 90.5)     8-15   
 323 N Rhodes                 Southern      (14- 3, 82.2)    12- 8   
 327 H Middlebury             NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 86.9)    12- 7   
 331 A Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 6- 9, 76.4)    19- 6   
 403 H Hiram                  North Coast   ( 6- 8, 66.0)    19- 0   
 407 A Oberlin                North Coast   ( 8- 7, 74.9)    14- 6   
 411 H Wooster                North Coast   ( 8- 7, 79.1)    12- 5   
 415 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (17- 4, 88.6)     8-13   
 418 H Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 9- 6, 79.2)    25- 1   
 421 A Wabash                 North Coast   ( 2-13, 65.9)    24- 5   
 425 H Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 9- 6, 79.2)    14- 6   
 428 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (17- 4, 88.6)    14- 7   
 509 H Illinois Wesleyan      CCIW          (16- 4, 86.7)    22- 6   
 512 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (17- 4, 88.6)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Washington & Lee       12-10       2     0    +      2.87
   225 A Stevenson              11-10       1     0           0.94
   304 H Roanoke                11-10       1     2          -1.38
   307 H Albion                 18- 1      17    13           0.00
   310 H DePauw                 16- 2      14    14           0.00
   316 N Amherst                13-19      -6    -5          -0.99
   317 N Dickinson               8-15      -7    -1    --    -5.77
   323 N Rhodes                 12- 8       4     7    -     -3.05
   327 H Middlebury             12- 7       5     3           1.50
   331 A Wittenberg             19- 6      13    11           0.00
   403 H Hiram                  19- 0      19    24           0.00
   407 A Oberlin                14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00
   411 H Wooster                12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   415 H Ohio Wesleyan           8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.77
   418 H Kenyon                 25- 1      24    11           0.00
   421 A Wabash                 24- 5      19    22           0.00
   425 H Kenyon                 14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   428 A Ohio Wesleyan          14- 7       7     0    +++    7.36
   509 H Illinois Wesleyan      22- 6      16     3    +++    6.35
   512 H Ohio Wesleyan          10-11      -1     1    -     -2.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Ohio Wesleyan           8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.77
   317 N Dickinson               8-15      -7    -1    --    -5.77
   323 N Rhodes                 12- 8       4     7    -     -3.05
   407 A Oberlin                14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00
   411 H Wooster                12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   425 H Kenyon                 14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   512 H Ohio Wesleyan          10-11      -1     1    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Ohio Wesleyan          14- 7       7     0    +++    7.36
   509 H Illinois Wesleyan      22- 6      16     3    +++    6.35
   218 A Washington & Lee       12-10       2     0    +      2.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.30 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.40 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/