Conf = Northeast 10               Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jim Murphy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4172516    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H NYIT                   East Coast    (13- 5, 84.7)     9-10  o
 310 A Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 6- 9, 78.5)    12- 8   
 317 H Le Moyne               Northeast 10  (15- 2, 89.3)     7-18   
 324 A Saint Rose             Northeast 10  ( 9- 8, 81.1)     9-10   
 328 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  (18- 1, 91.9)     7-11   
 331 H Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 5- 8, 80.6)    13-10   
 403 A S. New Hampshire       Northeast 10  ( 5- 9, 79.1)    10-15   
 407 A Saint Michael's        Northeast 10  ( 4-10, 78.7)     9- 7   
 411 H Assumption             Northeast 10  ( 7- 6, 82.2)    12-13   
 414 A Saint Anselm           Northeast 10  (11- 5, 87.4)     8-14   
 417 A Adelphi                Northeast 10  (11- 4, 88.4)     9-10  o
 421 H Pace                   Northeast 10  ( 7- 7, 85.2)    10- 9   
 428 A American International Northeast 10  ( 1-15, 73.1)    18- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H NYIT                    9-10  o   -1    -1           0.15
   310 A Roberts Wesleyan       12- 8       4     2           1.22
   317 H Le Moyne                7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.20
   324 A Saint Rose              9-10      -1     0          -1.24
   328 H Merrimack               7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.35
   331 H Franklin Pierce        13-10       3     2           0.01
   403 A S. New Hampshire       10-15      -5     2    ---   -7.19
   407 A Saint Michael's         9- 7       2     2          -0.56
   411 H Assumption             12-13      -1     1    -     -2.34
   414 A Saint Anselm            8-14      -6    -6           0.12
   417 A Adelphi                 9-10  o   -1    -7    +++    6.15
   421 H Pace                   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.69
   428 A American International 18- 8      10     8           1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A S. New Hampshire       10-15      -5     2    ---   -7.19
   317 H Le Moyne                7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.20
   411 H Assumption             12-13      -1     1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Adelphi                 9-10  o   -1    -7    +++    6.15
   328 H Merrimack               7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.35
   421 H Pace                   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.42 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.39 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/