Conf = MIAA Region = South State = MI Nickname = Scots Coach = Michael KinneyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.9328461 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Illinois Wesleyan CCIW (16- 4, 86.7) 12-29 226 A Ferrum USA South ( 5-12, 71.8) 7-11 302 A Greensboro USA South ( 9- 9, 69.9) 9-10 304 A Virginia Wesleyan Old Dominion ( 4-12, 74.8) 21-15 308 A Ohio Wesleyan North Coast (17- 4, 88.6) 4-17 310 A Baldwin Wallace OAC (11- 5, 79.7) 5-12 314 H Heidelberg OAC ( 7- 9, 66.3) 16- 7 317 A Capital OAC ( 9- 7, 79.1) 6-13 321 A John Carroll OAC (13- 5, 82.8) 7-18 324 A DePauw North Coast ( 7-11, 75.7) 9- 8 2o 404 A Hope MIAA (15- 2, 76.8) 11-15 407 A Kalamazoo MIAA ( 3- 9, 64.1) 10- 8 410 H Adrian MIAA ( 1-13, 55.8) 26- 2 419 H Albion MIAA (10- 8, 77.3) 5- 6 420 H Calvin MIAA ( 4-13, 65.8) 6- 4 424 A Olivet MIAA ( 1-12, 58.7) 15- 9 428 A Trine MIAA (10- 6, 73.7) 3- 7 502 A Hope MIAA (15- 2, 76.8) 7- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Illinois Wesleyan 12-29 -17 -12 0.00 226 A Ferrum 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.04 302 A Greensboro 9-10 -1 1 - -2.99 304 A Virginia Wesleyan 21-15 6 -2 +++ 8.93 308 A Ohio Wesleyan 4-17 -13 -16 0.00 310 A Baldwin Wallace 5-12 -7 -7 0.86 314 H Heidelberg 16- 7 9 7 1.35 317 A Capital 6-13 -7 -7 0.18 321 A John Carroll 7-18 -11 -10 0.00 324 A DePauw 9- 8 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.78 404 A Hope 11-15 -4 -4 0.88 407 A Kalamazoo 10- 8 2 7 -- -5.80 410 H Adrian 26- 2 24 18 0.00 419 H Albion 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.30 420 H Calvin 6- 4 2 8 --- -6.17 424 A Olivet 15- 9 6 13 -- -4.00 428 A Trine 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.13 502 A Hope 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.88UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 H Calvin 6- 4 2 8 --- -6.17 226 A Ferrum 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.04 407 A Kalamazoo 10- 8 2 7 -- -5.80 424 A Olivet 15- 9 6 13 -- -4.00 302 A Greensboro 9-10 -1 1 - -2.99 428 A Trine 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.13OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Virginia Wesleyan 21-15 6 -2 +++ 8.93 324 A DePauw 9- 8 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.78 419 H Albion 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.30 502 A Hope 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.93 Local Power Rank........... 148 Local SOS Rating......... 47.62 Local SOS Rank............. 133 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 143 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 19 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 199 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3