2017 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 RIT Liberty 20 3 2 3 3 1 1 2 4 15.00 2 Salisbury Capital 22 1 1 10 1 2 3 1 6 48.00 3 Wesleyan NESCAC 20 2 9 6 2 3 6 3 12 2.00 4 Denison North Coast 18 2 3 39 4 4 8 5 17 10.00 5 Cortland SUNYAC 17 3 15 21 6 5 11 7 23 0.10 6 Cabrini CSAC 17 4 12 49 8 13 5 6 24 0.10 7 York Capital 17 4 6 14 7 9 9 8 26 0.10 8 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 16 3 21 19 11 7 12 9 28 0.10 9 Bates NESCAC 16 2 4 7 5 8 18 4 30 11.00 10 St. Lawrence Liberty 16 3 8 25 9 6 19 10 35 3.00 11 Amherst NESCAC 13 5 17 2 10 12 10 14 36 0.10 12 Lynchburg Old Dominion 15 7 13 8 12 11 4 21 36 1.00 13 Elizabethtown Landmark 14 4 44 48 28 10 20 18 48 0.10 14 Aurora Midwest 18 3 43 125 14 19 23 11 53 0.10 15 Dickinson Centennial 12 4 18 13 18 16 25 13 54 0.10 16 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 16 4 33 93 21 14 21 19 54 0.10 17 Tufts NESCAC 13 6 5 4 23 15 13 26 54 2.00 18 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 14 6 7 23 17 18 17 22 57 2.00 19 Gettysburg Centennial 11 6 16 11 41 17 15 34 66 1.00 20 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 11 6 19 34 24 26 16 30 72 0.10 21 Middlebury NESCAC 9 9 20 1 48 30 2 49 81 0.10 22 Roanoke Old Dominion 12 4 10 33 16 27 40 16 83 0.10 23 Albion MIAA 15 4 78 110 25 23 42 20 85 0.10 24 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 16 6 28 36 19 21 30 35 86 0.10 25 Carthage CCIW 16 5 94 131 36 32 35 27 94 0.10 26 Clarkson Liberty 9 6 36 31 44 31 27 38 96 0.10 27 Vassar Liberty 11 5 37 37 30 34 36 31 101 0.10 28 Catholic Landmark 14 3 54 70 27 22 66 15 103 0.10 29 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 12 6 35 41 38 29 38 36 103 0.10 30 Rensselaer Liberty 10 5 22 17 39 25 34 45 104 1.00 31 Springfield NEWMAC 12 5 25 46 45 24 47 37 108 2.00 32 Ursinus Centennial 9 5 27 22 55 28 44 40 112 0.10 33 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 10 7 14 29 57 39 22 52 113 0.10 34 Nazareth Empire 8 11 9 34 30 52 44 7 64 115 0.10 35 Bowdoin NESCAC 10 6 23 12 26 41 37 41 119 0.10 36 John Carroll OAC 13 5 57 91 34 20 74 28 122 0.10 37 Ithaca Empire 8 13 4 11 55 29 45 56 23 124 2.00 38 Swarthmore Centennial 10 6 48 35 73 37 33 55 125 0.10 39 Montclair State Skyline 11 8 39 51 67 42 14 70 126 0.10 40 Union Liberty 8 6 41 18 54 36 39 54 129 0.10 41 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 13 4 73 98 35 49 52 29 130 0.10 42 Keene State Little East 14 4 24 78 15 47 73 24 144 0.10 43 Sewanee Southern 10 7 61 64 72 35 29 85 149 0.10 44 Rhodes Southern 13 3 89 103 31 33 89 32 154 0.10 45 Clark NEWMAC 13 5 71 89 46 46 65 44 155 0.10 46 Mary Washington Capital 9 8 51 26 71 55 24 80 159 0.10 47 Frostburg State Capital 9 7 38 28 62 60 41 63 164 0.10 48 Christopher Newp Capital 11 6 26 42 40 66 57 47 170 0.10 49 Concordia-Wiscon Midwest 13 6 110 172 64 62 51 57 170 0.10 50 Stevens Empire 8 14 5 30 56 32 48 76 46 170 0.10 51 Washington Colle Centennial 9 7 29 32 74 58 43 71 172 0.10 52 Williams NESCAC 7 9 32 5 90 54 28 95 177 0.10 53 Haverford Centennial 7 8 42 24 103 56 32 92 180 0.10 54 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 7 9 31 16 84 65 31 87 183 0.10 55 Lasell Great Northeas 13 4 105 156 42 53 97 42 192 0.10 56 Skidmore Liberty 6 9 49 27 119 51 26 116 193 0.10 57 Coast Guard NEWMAC 10 6 65 105 80 61 59 78 198 0.10 58 Whittier Independent 8 6 69 73 75 40 94 67 201 0.10 59 Stockton Skyline 16 3 52 111 22 57 121 25 203 0.10 60 Endicott CCC 10 8 53 47 87 52 64 89 205 0.10 61 Scranton Landmark 8 7 76 69 85 77 68 61 206 0.10 62 Eastern MAC-Freedom 12 7 56 68 69 64 69 75 208 0.10 63 Alma MIAA 12 6 128 163 68 73 70 66 209 0.10 64 Babson NEWMAC 8 8 45 52 98 67 46 102 215 0.10 65 Colorado College Independent 10 6 47 65 49 43 122 50 215 0.10 66 Mount Ida Great Northeas 14 5 135 185 51 72 91 53 216 0.10 67 Kenyon North Coast 6 7 64 76 94 75 62 84 221 0.10 68 Wittenberg North Coast 9 7 40 57 56 50 105 68 223 0.10 69 Capital OAC 10 6 70 146 79 78 75 73 226 0.10 70 Morrisville Stat NEAC 10 6 92 149 60 81 86 59 226 0.10 71 Berry Southern 11 5 63 107 58 63 102 62 227 0.10 72 Transylvania Ohio River 13 4 103 174 43 74 111 43 228 0.10 73 New England Coll North Atlantic 13 6 114 191 59 80 92 60 232 0.10 74 Western New Engl CCC 8 10 66 40 123 59 45 129 233 0.10 75 Geneseo SUNYAC 9 6 67 80 66 83 95 58 236 0.10 76 Merchant Marine Skyline 11 4 79 116 47 69 124 48 241 0.10 77 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 9 7 62 53 77 76 85 83 244 0.10 78 Beloit Midwest 9 6 159 178 83 97 80 69 246 0.10 79 Wooster North Coast 9 9 86 79 110 85 50 112 247 0.10 80 Baldwin Wallace OAC 12 3 59 147 20 38 193 17 248 0.10 81 Elmhurst CCIW 8 9 107 140 154 79 48 133 260 0.10 82 MIT NEWMAC 10 6 83 100 82 71 110 81 262 0.10 83 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 9 6 46 67 63 82 112 77 271 0.10 84 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 9 8 72 54 93 86 79 111 276 0.10 85 Roger Williams CCC 9 8 99 81 95 84 98 96 278 0.10 86 U. of New Englan CCC 13 5 68 114 53 68 158 56 282 0.10 87 Shenandoah Old Dominion 9 8 95 66 96 94 87 106 287 0.10 88 Hope MIAA 10 6 137 182 81 90 119 79 288 0.10 89 Methodist SEILC 15 3 87 135 13 70 206 12 288 0.10 90 Brockport SUNYAC 8 6 60 74 78 88 132 72 292 0.10 91 Cazenovia NEAC 12 3 140 196 33 87 175 33 295 0.10 92 Guilford Old Dominion 8 8 90 63 99 98 82 120 300 0.10 93 Johnson & Wales Great Northeas 12 7 146 177 91 89 120 93 302 0.10 94 Plymouth State Little East 9 8 129 121 125 93 88 125 306 0.10 95 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 12 6 77 144 70 96 138 76 310 0.10 96 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 8 10 84 45 140 102 55 159 316 0.10 97 Trinity NESCAC 5 10 55 20 136 107 63 146 316 0.10 98 Susquehanna Landmark 9 7 75 92 107 104 131 82 317 0.10 99 Hartwick Empire 8 8 7 93 72 100 103 109 108 320 0.10 100 Olivet MIAA 7 7 148 159 117 101 104 115 320 0.10 101 McDaniel Centennial 6 10 58 43 165 99 58 164 321 0.10 102 Augustana CCIW 7 11 155 123 194 92 49 182 323 0.10 103 UMass Boston Little East 9 8 150 118 127 91 107 127 325 0.10 104 Oberlin North Coast 6 9 149 97 147 105 77 144 326 0.10 105 Southern Virgini Capital 6 9 96 44 135 118 71 137 326 0.10 106 DePauw North Coast 8 6 143 142 65 119 137 74 330 0.10 107 Hamilton NESCAC 4 11 74 9 160 112 61 168 341 0.10 108 Otterbein OAC 7 10 101 104 172 106 67 171 344 0.10 109 Saint Vincent Ohio River 9 7 173 188 105 115 125 105 345 0.10 110 Potsdam SUNYAC 4 9 117 59 153 124 78 145 347 0.10 111 Salve Regina CCC 8 9 126 102 158 95 96 157 348 0.10 112 Colby NESCAC 3 11 50 15 163 127 53 169 349 0.10 113 Marywood CSAC 9 10 113 112 155 134 72 143 349 0.10 114 Hendrix Southern 8 8 130 119 114 100 152 104 356 0.10 115 Marymount Capital 5 11 100 61 177 129 54 176 359 0.10 116 Eastern Connecti Little East 8 10 139 101 171 108 81 172 361 0.10 117 North Central (I CCIW 10 4 161 218 50 120 191 51 362 0.10 118 Nichols CCC 10 8 123 148 121 116 127 122 365 0.10 119 DeSales MAC-Freedom 7 8 106 95 139 114 133 119 366 0.10 120 Wheaton NEWMAC 6 9 112 96 168 109 90 167 366 0.10 121 Alfred Empire 8 6 7 91 82 108 121 128 118 367 0.10 122 Birmingham-South Southern 8 9 109 109 142 113 100 154 367 0.10 123 Drew Landmark 8 7 98 94 112 111 160 98 369 0.10 124 Castleton North Atlantic 10 9 156 186 130 125 114 131 370 0.10 125 St. John Fisher Empire 8 8 8 82 83 122 110 123 138 371 0.10 126 Utica Empire 8 9 6 108 108 76 117 171 86 374 0.10 127 Norwich Great Northeas 10 9 154 170 149 122 106 147 375 0.10 128 Goucher Landmark 5 9 97 77 164 123 108 152 383 0.10 129 Ohio Northern OAC 9 7 120 166 104 131 154 101 386 0.10 130 Keuka NEAC 8 6 147 181 89 136 163 91 390 0.10 131 Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonwlth 9 8 81 87 115 133 149 109 391 0.10 132 Oswego SUNYAC 6 9 80 85 150 128 115 148 391 0.10 133 Southwestern Independent 9 7 111 175 106 135 151 107 393 0.10 134 Dean College Independent 9 5 182 222 37 137 223 39 399 0.10 135 Bridgewater Old Dominion 7 9 88 84 124 138 113 149 400 0.10 136 Kean Skyline 8 8 121 130 132 130 142 135 407 0.10 137 Bard Liberty 5 9 167 90 137 152 117 139 408 0.10 138 Mount Union OAC 7 7 166 169 116 132 166 110 408 0.10 139 MSOE Midwest 8 8 168 203 134 155 134 124 413 0.10 140 Bryn Athyn NEAC 8 8 145 171 129 139 147 130 416 0.10 141 Thiel Ohio River 10 5 177 220 61 153 198 65 416 0.10 142 Centre Southern 5 9 125 143 169 156 101 162 419 0.10 143 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 6 10 136 115 179 143 99 179 421 0.10 144 Curry CCC 9 9 104 137 151 126 150 150 426 0.10 145 Oneonta SUNYAC 3 11 85 60 196 150 83 197 430 0.10 146 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 7 7 115 113 111 145 176 113 434 0.10 147 Benedictine Midwest 6 11 170 187 199 162 84 189 435 0.10 148 Centenary CSAC 7 7 151 126 102 151 182 103 436 0.10 149 Lycoming MAC-Commonwlth 5 9 116 62 148 140 135 163 438 0.10 150 St. Joseph's (NY Skyline 7 6 134 138 97 141 202 97 440 0.10 151 Hilbert NEAC 8 6 158 213 88 159 195 90 444 0.10 152 Western Connecti Little East 7 9 144 160 162 149 136 161 446 0.10 153 Fairleigh Dickin MAC-Freedom 7 10 118 106 175 148 126 175 449 0.10 154 Manhattanville MAC-Freedom 6 8 138 122 145 154 156 142 452 0.10 155 Wentworth CCC 6 10 164 139 181 142 129 181 452 0.10 156 St. Mary's Capital 1 14 102 38 228 174 60 227 461 0.10 157 Trine MIAA 7 6 162 207 92 164 203 94 461 0.10 158 Cornell College Midwest 7 8 183 198 138 165 167 132 464 0.10 159 Emmanuel Great Northeas 7 10 142 153 174 144 146 174 464 0.10 160 Rivier Great Northeas 8 9 172 193 157 158 157 156 471 0.10 161 Arcadia MAC-Commonwlth 5 11 132 71 192 146 130 199 475 0.10 162 Gwynedd Mercy CSAC 6 8 119 124 120 167 189 121 477 0.10 163 Huntingdon SEILC 10 8 152 162 131 147 200 134 481 0.10 164 Dubuque CCIW 10 7 190 214 109 157 229 99 485 0.10 165 Muhlenberg Centennial 2 12 124 50 220 170 103 212 485 0.10 166 Southern Maine Little East 6 10 174 155 180 160 145 180 485 0.10 167 Moravian Landmark 6 8 133 129 146 168 199 123 490 0.10 168 Wesley Capital 4 12 171 75 203 173 116 202 491 0.10 169 Daniel Webster NECC 8 6 197 229 86 187 219 88 494 0.10 170 Gordon CCC 5 10 163 152 182 163 148 183 494 0.10 171 Regis NECC 7 9 188 205 161 172 165 160 497 0.10 172 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 8 9 122 134 143 161 184 153 498 0.10 173 Piedmont SEILC 5 10 184 173 184 178 140 186 504 0.10 174 Maritime Skyline 4 10 157 128 189 171 143 192 506 0.10 175 Mass. Maritime NEWMAC 4 9 165 133 170 176 161 170 507 0.10 176 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 2 14 153 58 229 181 93 233 507 0.10 177 Randolph Old Dominion 5 12 127 86 197 177 118 213 508 0.10 178 St. Joseph's (ME Great Northeas 6 9 187 194 167 169 178 166 513 0.10 179 King's MAC-Freedom 5 10 131 117 183 166 164 184 514 0.10 180 Lyndon State North Atlantic 10 7 203 234 101 193 226 100 519 0.10 181 Emerson NEWMAC 4 8 206 183 152 185 185 151 521 0.10 182 SUNY Canton Independent 3 8 186 158 159 180 190 158 528 0.10 183 Westminster (PA) Ohio River 7 7 196 225 118 198 218 117 533 0.10 184 Wilmington OAC 5 11 189 180 207 191 139 203 533 0.10 185 Husson North Atlantic 6 8 213 226 144 192 201 141 534 0.10 186 Northland Colleg Independent 6 9 209 224 166 186 186 165 537 0.10 187 UMass Dartmouth Little East 5 10 160 141 185 175 177 187 539 0.10 188 Franciscan Independent 7 7 216 231 113 202 225 114 541 0.10 189 Wabash North Coast 4 11 191 145 191 188 159 194 541 0.10 190 Alfred State Independent 7 9 194 210 141 182 220 140 542 0.10 191 Adrian MIAA 4 10 192 167 186 183 172 188 543 0.10 192 Wells NEAC 4 8 199 204 128 196 221 128 545 0.10 193 Washington & Jef Ohio River 5 12 180 176 217 184 144 219 547 0.10 194 Muskingum OAC 4 10 212 190 190 190 174 185 549 0.10 195 Hiram North Coast 2 10 210 136 176 199 181 177 557 0.10 196 Ferrum SEILC 6 12 141 127 215 179 169 217 565 0.10 197 Calvin MIAA 5 11 195 200 204 194 168 204 566 0.10 198 Elmira Empire 8 1 12 198 88 222 201 141 226 568 0.10 199 Immaculata CSAC 4 10 178 132 178 195 196 178 569 0.10 200 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 3 13 169 99 227 189 153 228 570 0.10 201 Neumann CSAC 6 9 179 179 156 200 216 155 571 0.10 202 Millsaps Southern 3 7 217 199 133 211 230 136 577 0.10 203 U. of Northweste Independent 5 7 223 232 126 223 236 126 585 0.10 204 Salem State Little East 2 12 193 157 226 197 170 225 592 0.10 205 Monmouth (IL) Midwest 3 11 215 209 209 207 183 207 597 0.10 206 Purchase Skyline 1 10 204 120 202 208 194 201 603 0.10 207 Houghton Empire 8 2 14 214 165 234 215 155 234 604 0.10 208 Greensboro SEILC 3 13 181 150 212 204 192 211 607 0.10 209 Mitchell NECC 2 10 218 197 195 210 204 196 610 0.10 210 Concordia U. Chi Midwest 0 13 232 192 233 218 162 231 611 0.10 211 Hanover Ohio River 3 12 185 189 223 206 187 222 615 0.10 212 Cobleskill NEAC 4 10 207 217 187 217 209 190 616 0.10 213 Heidelberg OAC 3 13 220 195 231 214 173 229 616 0.10 214 Wilkes MAC-Freedom 4 11 175 154 208 203 205 208 616 0.10 215 Kalamazoo MIAA 4 10 208 215 188 220 207 191 618 0.10 216 Thomas North Atlantic 3 9 224 230 173 224 222 173 619 0.10 217 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 2 12 200 151 225 216 180 224 620 0.10 218 Anna Maria Great Northeas 3 13 201 201 230 212 179 230 621 0.10 219 Carroll CCIW 4 12 225 223 219 222 188 215 625 0.10 220 Rosemont CSAC 5 11 176 168 198 213 215 198 626 0.10 221 Albertus Magnus Great Northeas 3 12 211 206 221 221 197 221 639 0.10 222 Becker NECC 4 12 205 212 218 209 211 220 640 0.10 223 Fontbonne Midwest 2 10 230 211 200 228 217 195 640 0.10 224 SUNY Poly NEAC 3 12 202 184 210 205 228 209 642 0.10 225 Bethany Ohio River 2 11 229 219 211 225 208 210 643 0.10 226 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 3 10 219 216 193 226 224 193 643 0.10 227 Keystone CSAC 1 12 228 161 224 227 213 223 663 0.10 228 Green Mountain North Atlantic 1 10 236 233 201 233 233 200 666 0.10 229 Oglethorpe Southern 1 15 222 164 235 219 214 235 668 0.10 230 Dallas Independent 2 12 227 202 214 229 227 216 672 0.10 231 Johnson State North Atlantic 0 10 235 235 205 234 234 205 673 0.10 232 Medaille NEAC 1 13 231 221 232 231 210 232 673 0.10 233 North Central (M Independent 0 10 233 228 206 235 235 206 676 0.10 234 Mount St. Joseph Ohio River 1 15 221 208 236 230 212 236 678 0.10 235 Wheelock NECC 2 11 226 236 213 232 232 214 678 0.10 236 La Roche Independent 0 11 234 227 216 236 231 218 685 0.10