2017 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Maryland Big Ten 16 3 2 3 1 1 1 1 3 16.00 2 Ohio State Big Ten 16 5 6 5 2 2 2 2 6 3.00 3 Albany America East 15 3 1 21 4 3 7 4 14 28.00 4 Syracuse ACC 13 3 11 7 3 4 11 3 18 1.00 5 Notre Dame ACC 9 6 7 1 7 5 5 9 19 2.00 6 Penn State Big Ten 12 4 9 15 8 6 8 7 21 0.10 7 Denver Big East 13 4 3 6 5 7 10 5 22 5.00 8 Towson Colonial 12 5 12 12 9 8 6 8 22 2.00 9 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 8 7 13 2 12 9 4 13 26 0.10 10 Duke ACC 13 5 4 9 6 10 12 6 28 20.00 11 North Carolina ACC 8 8 10 4 14 11 3 14 28 1.00 12 Rutgers Big Ten 10 4 17 32 11 12 15 11 38 0.10 13 Army Patriot 12 4 19 36 10 14 21 10 45 0.10 14 Yale Ivy 10 6 8 16 20 13 13 21 47 4.00 15 Loyola Patriot 10 6 5 23 23 17 17 16 50 6.00 16 UMass Colonial 7 8 29 10 31 19 9 26 54 1.00 17 Villanova Big East 9 6 16 17 22 16 16 23 55 1.00 18 Marquette Big East 8 8 23 8 26 22 14 24 60 2.00 19 Air Force SoCon 12 6 24 48 16 24 19 22 65 0.10 20 Binghamton America East 11 5 28 42 18 20 33 15 68 0.10 21 Boston U. Patriot 12 5 22 31 17 18 30 20 68 1.00 22 Hofstra Colonial 11 3 18 40 13 15 45 12 72 0.10 23 Michigan Big Ten 8 6 41 35 21 25 32 17 74 0.10 24 Stony Brook America East 7 7 34 26 30 29 23 30 82 0.10 25 Brown Ivy 10 6 20 25 25 21 36 27 84 2.00 26 Virginia ACC 8 7 21 18 24 31 31 25 87 1.00 27 UMBC America East 6 8 40 28 41 32 20 37 89 0.10 28 Providence Big East 10 7 26 29 33 30 28 32 90 0.10 29 Bryant Northeast 11 8 27 46 38 26 25 40 91 1.00 30 Princeton Ivy 9 6 15 38 28 28 35 28 91 2.00 31 Richmond SoCon 12 4 14 52 15 23 50 19 92 0.10 32 Drexel Colonial 6 8 37 22 44 33 24 36 93 0.10 33 Penn Ivy 7 6 25 20 27 27 42 31 100 1.00 34 Cornell Ivy 5 8 35 13 36 35 26 41 102 0.10 35 Harvard Ivy 6 7 30 24 32 37 37 33 107 0.10 36 Hobart Northeast 9 7 36 49 39 34 43 34 111 0.10 37 Fairfield Colonial 5 9 44 27 45 40 27 46 113 0.10 38 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 14 4 42 67 19 36 59 18 113 0.10 39 Georgetown Big East 4 10 31 14 46 46 22 48 116 0.10 40 Delaware Colonial 7 8 39 47 47 39 39 42 120 0.10 41 Cleveland State Independent 5 9 66 11 49 53 18 52 123 0.10 42 Marist Metro Atlantic 10 6 48 59 35 38 52 35 125 0.10 43 Furman SoCon 7 8 33 53 37 41 44 45 130 0.10 44 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 9 53 57 51 49 34 51 134 0.10 45 Navy Patriot 6 8 32 33 42 45 46 43 134 0.10 46 Hartford America East 6 8 45 54 50 47 41 47 135 0.10 47 Lehigh Patriot 7 7 38 41 34 44 53 38 135 0.10 48 Colgate Patriot 5 9 49 37 54 48 38 53 139 0.10 49 Saint Joseph's Northeast 5 9 52 50 53 50 40 54 144 0.10 50 Robert Morris Northeast 9 7 47 58 43 42 60 44 146 0.10 51 Sacred Heart Northeast 9 6 46 62 40 43 64 39 146 0.10 52 St. John's Big East 1 13 63 19 67 59 29 67 155 0.10 53 Holy Cross Patriot 5 10 50 30 56 51 47 59 157 0.10 54 Bucknell Patriot 5 8 43 39 48 52 57 49 158 0.10 55 Vermont America East 5 8 51 45 52 54 58 50 162 0.10 56 High Point SoCon 4 10 54 43 58 55 51 58 164 0.10 57 Hampton Independent 1 7 71 71 29 71 71 29 171 0.10 58 Jacksonville SoCon 3 11 56 44 62 58 54 62 174 0.10 59 UMass Lowell America East 4 12 55 55 68 60 49 66 175 0.10 60 Detroit Mercy Metro Atlantic 5 11 58 63 64 57 56 63 176 0.10 61 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 4 10 57 56 61 56 61 60 177 0.10 62 Lafayette Patriot 2 12 64 51 69 62 48 69 179 0.10 63 Bellarmine SoCon 4 9 67 61 57 61 66 56 183 0.10 64 Siena Metro Atlantic 3 11 59 60 65 64 55 64 183 0.10 65 Mercer SoCon 5 8 61 66 55 63 69 55 187 0.10 66 Wagner Northeast 6 9 65 70 59 66 65 57 188 0.10 67 Dartmouth Ivy 2 11 62 34 63 65 62 65 192 0.10 68 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 9 60 65 60 68 70 61 199 0.10 69 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 11 68 64 66 67 68 68 203 0.10 70 NJIT Independent 1 14 69 68 71 70 63 71 204 0.10 71 VMI SoCon 2 12 70 69 70 69 67 70 206 0.10