Conf = Little East Region = North State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Ryan CavanaghGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.5284119 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Mount Saint Mary Skyline ( 6-10, 74.2) 20-15 301 A St. Joseph's (NY) Skyline ( 7- 6, 74.2) 9-13 308 A Farmingdale State Skyline (12- 6, 79.6) 7-11 318 H Regis NECC ( 7- 9, 67.5) 16- 7 325 A Rosemont CSAC ( 5-11, 69.9) 9-10 329 H Mitchell NECC ( 2-10, 60.1) 17- 3 401 A UMass Boston Little East ( 9- 8, 73.1) 8-11 405 A New England College North Atlanti (13- 6, 75.9) 8-13 408 H Southern Maine Little East ( 6-10, 70.1) 11-12 412 H Dean College Independent ( 9- 5, 69.1) 10- 5 415 A Salem State Little East ( 2-12, 66.3) 19- 1 419 A Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 8-10, 74.0) 9- 7 422 A UMass Dartmouth Little East ( 5-10, 71.9) 8-14 425 H Keene State Little East (14- 4, 86.4) 4-23 428 H Plymouth State Little East ( 9- 8, 74.8) 16-11 502 A Plymouth State Little East ( 9- 8, 74.8) 11-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Mount Saint Mary 20-15 5 0 ++ 4.30 301 A St. Joseph's (NY) 9-13 -4 -2 -1.97 308 A Farmingdale State 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.37 318 H Regis 16- 7 9 7 1.62 325 A Rosemont 9-10 -1 2 - -3.31 329 H Mitchell 17- 3 14 14 0.00 401 A UMass Boston 8-11 -3 0 - -2.09 405 A New England College 8-13 -5 -3 -1.29 408 H Southern Maine 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.73 412 H Dean College 10- 5 5 5 -0.79 415 A Salem State 19- 1 18 5 ++ 4.14 419 A Eastern Connecticut 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.81 422 A UMass Dartmouth 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.30 425 H Keene State 4-23 -19 -11 0.00 428 H Plymouth State 16-11 5 0 ++ 4.91 502 A Plymouth State 11-14 -3 -2 -0.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A UMass Dartmouth 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.30 408 H Southern Maine 11-12 -1 4 -- -5.73 325 A Rosemont 9-10 -1 2 - -3.31 401 A UMass Boston 8-11 -3 0 - -2.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Mount Saint Mary 20-15 5 0 ++ 4.30 415 A Salem State 19- 1 18 5 ++ 4.14 428 H Plymouth State 16-11 5 0 ++ 4.91 308 A Farmingdale State 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.37 419 A Eastern Connecticut 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.81/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 73.53 Local Power Rank........... 144 Local SOS Rating......... 45.44 Local SOS Rank............. 160 Local RPI Rating......... 0.46 Local RPI Rank............. 149 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 224 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 162 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7