Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.8252411    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 204 N UMBC                   America East  ( 6- 8, 92.2)    17- 6   
 211 A Furman                 SoCon         ( 7- 8, 93.0)     7- 3   
 218 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 7- 7, 92.6)    15- 8   
 225 H Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       ( 8- 7, 96.2)     5-13   
 304 A Denver                 Big East      (13- 4, 99.4)    13- 9   
 311 H Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 3, 95.4)     9-11   
 313 H Richmond               SoCon         (12- 4, 96.0)     5- 6   
 318 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 2-11, 87.4)    17- 6   
 325 H Maryland               Big Ten       (16- 3, 99.8)     7-15   
 402 H Duke                   ACC           (13- 5, 99.4)     8-12   
 409 A Virginia               ACC           ( 8- 7, 95.2)    15-12   
 415 H Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 96.7)    11-12  o
 422 A Notre Dame             ACC           ( 9- 6, 97.4)    13-14   
 428 N Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 96.7)    16-15   
 430 N Notre Dame             ACC           ( 9- 6, 97.4)    14-10   
 513 A Albany                 America East  (15- 3, 99.9)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 N UMBC                   17- 6      11     4    ++     5.33
   211 A Furman                  7- 3       4     2           1.03
   218 H Lehigh                 15- 8       7     5           1.91
   225 H Johns Hopkins           5-13      -8     1    ---   -9.41
   304 A Denver                 13- 9       4    -3    +++    7.36
   311 H Hofstra                 9-11      -2     2    --    -4.23
   313 H Richmond                5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.63
   318 H Dartmouth              17- 6      11    10           0.00
   325 H Maryland                7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.81
   402 H Duke                    8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.29
   409 A Virginia               15-12       3     0    +      2.20
   415 H Syracuse               11-12  o   -1     0          -1.93
   422 A Notre Dame             13-14      -1    -1           0.39
   428 N Syracuse               16-15       1     0           0.88
   430 N Notre Dame             14-10       4     0    ++     4.57
   513 A Albany                 12-15      -3    -3           0.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Johns Hopkins           5-13      -8     1    ---   -9.41
   311 H Hofstra                 9-11      -2     2    --    -4.23
   325 H Maryland                7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.81
   313 H Richmond                5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.63
   402 H Duke                    8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Denver                 13- 9       4    -3    +++    7.36
   204 N UMBC                   17- 6      11     4    ++     5.33
   430 N Notre Dame             14-10       4     0    ++     4.57
   409 A Virginia               15-12       3     0    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.83 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 90.29 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/