Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.8252411 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 N UMBC America East ( 6- 8, 92.2) 17- 6 211 A Furman SoCon ( 7- 8, 93.0) 7- 3 218 H Lehigh Patriot ( 7- 7, 92.6) 15- 8 225 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten ( 8- 7, 96.2) 5-13 304 A Denver Big East (13- 4, 99.4) 13- 9 311 H Hofstra Colonial (11- 3, 95.4) 9-11 313 H Richmond SoCon (12- 4, 96.0) 5- 6 318 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 2-11, 87.4) 17- 6 325 H Maryland Big Ten (16- 3, 99.8) 7-15 402 H Duke ACC (13- 5, 99.4) 8-12 409 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 7, 95.2) 15-12 415 H Syracuse ACC (13- 3, 96.7) 11-12 o 422 A Notre Dame ACC ( 9- 6, 97.4) 13-14 428 N Syracuse ACC (13- 3, 96.7) 16-15 430 N Notre Dame ACC ( 9- 6, 97.4) 14-10 513 A Albany America East (15- 3, 99.9) 12-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 N UMBC 17- 6 11 4 ++ 5.33 211 A Furman 7- 3 4 2 1.03 218 H Lehigh 15- 8 7 5 1.91 225 H Johns Hopkins 5-13 -8 1 --- -9.41 304 A Denver 13- 9 4 -3 +++ 7.36 311 H Hofstra 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.23 313 H Richmond 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.63 318 H Dartmouth 17- 6 11 10 0.00 325 H Maryland 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.81 402 H Duke 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.29 409 A Virginia 15-12 3 0 + 2.20 415 H Syracuse 11-12 o -1 0 -1.93 422 A Notre Dame 13-14 -1 -1 0.39 428 N Syracuse 16-15 1 0 0.88 430 N Notre Dame 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.57 513 A Albany 12-15 -3 -3 0.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Johns Hopkins 5-13 -8 1 --- -9.41 311 H Hofstra 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.23 325 H Maryland 7-15 -8 -2 -- -5.81 313 H Richmond 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.63 402 H Duke 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Denver 13- 9 4 -3 +++ 7.36 204 N UMBC 17- 6 11 4 ++ 5.33 430 N Notre Dame 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.57 409 A Virginia 15-12 3 0 + 2.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.83 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 90.29 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7